MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4860a3e906a94e042d72ab1eca53c4ae2e368749c419f199e1fcd870d2426154
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $695,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $704,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $695,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 113,480$55,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,321.11 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 66,889$35,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,837.41 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 58,642$29,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,861.1 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 32,814$6,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,518.03 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 28,302$14,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,304.77 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 25,194$11,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,007.28 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 21,373$11,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,451.4 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 21,000$10,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,289.99 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 13,800$7,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,486 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 13,531$6,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,780.4 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 13,026$5,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,072.77 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 12,668$6,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,803.34 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 12,193$5,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,974.33 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…e067backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 11,357$5,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,357.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 64c | 10,547$6,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,749.43 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 10,168$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,592.27 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 9,999$5,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.49 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 9,677$4,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,742.97 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 7,981$4,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,573 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 5,607$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.59 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 5,182$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 5,018$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.15 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 4,678$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.34 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 4,500$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.19 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 3,782$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 3,622$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 3,450$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.26 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 3,314$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 3,232$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.91 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 3,004$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.02 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 2,654$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.65 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 2,571$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.43 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Detroit Tigers | 35c | 2,534$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.09 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 2,187$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.23 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 2,121$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.24 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 2,060$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.3 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 2,019$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 1,929$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.88 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 1,923$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.08 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 1,920$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.64 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Detroit Tigers | 25c | 1,899$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.97 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,856$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.55 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 1,718$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.47 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 1,699$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Detroit Tigers | 13c | 1,627$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.95 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,617$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.26 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 1,590$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.9 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 1,580$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.15 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Detroit Tigers | 27c | 1,567$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.62 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 1,528$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.2 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,499$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.95 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 1,480$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,426$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.12 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,321$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.39 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 1,226$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.17 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Detroit Tigers | 71c | 1,204$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.64 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 1,134$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.79 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,100$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.11 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ea…6a44backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,050$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.69 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 1,027$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.48 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…d62cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…7325backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 997.53$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.55 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 966.2$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.44 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 935.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 918.2$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.74 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 895.82$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.39 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 813.91$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.93 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 799.99$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 797.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.16 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 697.54$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.74 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Detroit Tigers | 26c | 690$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.42 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 659.97$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.19 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 656.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.88 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 650$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 599.95$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.98 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 585.67$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.42 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 575.2$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.2 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Detroit Tigers | 65c | 570.94$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.61 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 550$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 550$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.31 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f8…7bb0backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 530.81$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 507.14$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.53 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 502.9$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e8…776dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 500.04$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 500$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.