MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8795f687c5a6aa139514d35b6fb41041516eeeb9422d7b9b60665dab1a622886
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $356,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $389,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked San Diego Padres | 0c | 37,594$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 22,765$14,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,461.62 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 21,676$16,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,728.43 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 18,749$7,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,319 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked San Diego Padres | 6c | 18,257$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.39 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 18,000$10,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,020 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 17,559$11,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,216.06 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…f4febacked San Diego Padres | 37c | 16,216$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 13,538$4,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845.87 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked San Diego Padres | 36c | 12,342$4,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,443.28 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 11,910$7,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,466.44 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 7,133$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.7 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 7,086$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.01 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 19c | 6,636$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.5 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked San Diego Padres | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 6,250$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Diego Padres | 2c | 4,521$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 4,496$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.6 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 80c | 4,446$3,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.07 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 10c | 3,922$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.99 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed San Diego Padres | 12c | 3,066$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.91 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.98 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 2,794$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.19 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Diego Padres | 18c | 2,687$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.4 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 2,400$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 2,362$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.64 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 16c | 2,079$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.06 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 2,048$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.61 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed San Diego Padres | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked San Diego Padres | 6c | 1,951$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…a35ebacked San Diego Padres | 14c | 1,768$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.99 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 1,564$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.06 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked San Diego Padres | 38c | 1,440$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.21 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 1,367$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.05 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed San Diego Padres | 8c | 1,362$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.28 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 1,259$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.42 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…a73abacked San Diego Padres | 4c | 1,251$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 1,163$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.53 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 1,158$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 1,123$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.4 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.95 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Diego Padres | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 19c | 984$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.96 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed San Diego Padres | 29c | 969.53$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.34 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 13c | 916.1$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.83 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 847$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.86 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed San Diego Padres | 22c | 820.17$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.55 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…d25fbacked San Diego Padres | 27c | 802.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.69 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed San Diego Padres | 6c | 798.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…c742backed San Diego Padres | 4c | 725.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed San Diego Padres | 21c | 687.1$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.73 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed San Diego Padres | 15c | 627.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 848 | 40.2%341 W · 507 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 9c | 604.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Diego Padres | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed San Diego Padres | 11c | 557.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 510.8$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.56 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed San Diego Padres | 13c | 508.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed San Diego Padres | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 446.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.39 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked San Diego Padres | 36c | 438.89$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed San Diego Padres | 11c | 420$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 406.25$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 379.44$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf9…73bbbacked San Diego Padres | 6c | 374$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 369.29$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.94 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 368.75$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.75 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 365$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.85 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked San Diego Padres | 26c | 364.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed San Diego Padres | 25c | 354.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…3ceabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 352.46$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 349.99$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 331.75$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.7 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 330.95$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.45 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…0ce0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 326.52$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.16 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked San Diego Padres | 19c | 314.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed San Diego Padres | 15c | 311.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 290 | 43.1%125 W · 165 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked San Diego Padres | 38c | 307.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 305.41$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked San Diego Padres | 16c | 304.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed San Diego Padres | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 300$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 299.74$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked San Diego Padres | 8c | 288.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 267 | 18.4%49 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 279.97$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.06 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…8c8dbacked San Diego Padres | 37c | 271$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked San Diego Padres | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…4ee0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 265.63$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…9a8abacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 255$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 80c | 249.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.