TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc92d…a35e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
184
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT9018.9%17 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-51.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.91
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.35
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.55
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+179.3%+$83.93
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$55.42
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.72
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.37
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.15
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$57.72
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$50.96
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.42
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.34
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.79
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$29.38
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$44.4
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.32
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.09
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$39.08
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT5851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+144.2%+$790.13
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$59.81
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.99
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+102.3%+$162.82
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.65
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.35
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.84
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+121.5%+$31.19
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.13
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.14
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+126.4%+$165.9
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.79
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.28
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.8
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+70%+$26.04
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$12.64
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$45.61
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$64.45
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.28
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.44
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST3243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40.18
Hurricanes vs. Krakenbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80.04
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.82
Flyers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$34.32
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.61
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.36
Maple Leafs vs. Krakenbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$27.63
Flames vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+58.7%+$23.68
Avalanche vs. Canadiensbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$60.42
Flyers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+75.4%+$45.57
Jets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+58.7%+$16.65
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+64.4%+$26.28
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$25.2
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.54
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$41.14
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100%+$57.5
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+130%+$29.37
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.86
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+103.6%+$19.72
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Devils vs. Krakenbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.04
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$62.55
Devils vs. Canucksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$6.96
Capitals vs. Flamesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+78.6%+$7.92
Flyers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$28.47
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.