MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x368f23e6cdbd867df7d22a9ed054a17a87643877b6ae8d01b5aa093ff8cce48e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof New York Mets, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,005,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,018,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,005,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 177,865$81,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,047.12 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 163,652$91,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,087.52 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 49c | 160,382$78,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,612.21 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed New York Mets | 54c | 132,973$71,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,805.29 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed New York Mets | 54c | 38,936$21,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,078.51 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 21,343$12,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,671.91 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed New York Mets | 24c | 16,562$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.21 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed New York Mets | 53c | 16,066$8,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,514.87 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 15,617$9,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,559.23 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 14,972$8,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,737.4 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 14,000$7,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,603.29 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 62c | 12,615$7,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,822.76 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 12,000$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,479.91 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed New York Mets | 23c | 11,224$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.35 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed New York Mets | 54c | 10,167$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,490 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed New York Mets | 54c | 10,132$5,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,471.33 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets | 53c | 10,072$5,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,346.61 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked New York Mets | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed New York Mets | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Diego Padres | 70c | 8,827$6,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.98 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked New York Mets | 23c | 8,743$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.25 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 42c | 8,586$3,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,572.99 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 44c | 8,288$3,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,667.88 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 7,523$3,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,987.34 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…e770backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 7,042$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.61 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 35c | 6,991$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.26 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 53c | 6,915$3,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,664.88 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed New York Mets | 22c | 6,193$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.14 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Mets | 60c | 6,093$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,662.1 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed New York Mets | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 5,923$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.93 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 39c | 5,753$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.69 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 4,572$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.24 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 49c | 4,065$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 30c | 4,026$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.04 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed New York Mets | 45c | 3,978$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.97 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked San Diego Padres | 32c | 3,816$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.58 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 3,626$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 3,210$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.28 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed New York Mets | 19c | 2,656$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.99 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 2,524$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.8 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 2,477$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.97 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Mets | 53c | 2,441$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.75 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 2,288$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.63 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked New York Mets | 54c | 2,211$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.68 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 2,200$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 2,199$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.36 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed New York Mets | 16c | 2,171$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.3 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe80b…7e1bbacked San Diego Padres | 69c | 2,140$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 2,114$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.13 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…e551backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 2,047$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 2,010$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.08 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked New York Mets | 54c | 1,849$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.5 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked New York Mets | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked New York Mets | 23c | 1,722$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.06 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,664$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 1,556$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.81 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,495$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.49 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed New York Mets | 51c | 1,492$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.2 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Mets | 62c | 1,491$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.33 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,447$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.92 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked New York Mets | 49c | 1,388$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed New York Mets | 67c | 1,346$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked New York Mets | 31c | 1,344$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.54 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…a35ebacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 1,338$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.13 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed New York Mets | 56c | 1,254$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 1,163$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.48 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…a226backed New York Mets | 63c | 1,103$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Diego Padres | 78c | 1,081$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.24 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,028$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked New York Mets | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked New York Mets | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 989.52$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.79 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 975.81$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.94 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 974.67$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.84 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 921.02$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.14 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 912.06$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.91 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…9a8abacked San Diego Padres | 78c | 904.2$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.92 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 897$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.33 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 869.57$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.87 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…33bebacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 846.63$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.63 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.4wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 833.33$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.66 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 42c | 831.11$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.48 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 37c | 826.93$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.77 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 810$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.3 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 805.4$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.86 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 800$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 756.77$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.09 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed New York Mets | 36c | 682.63$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.52 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed New York Mets | 18c | 678.8$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75b…ea01backed New York Mets | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 660.47$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.47 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 641.88$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.68 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.