TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd879…2f44

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
494
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Valorant, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 57 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20224.3%49 W · 153 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 202 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.92
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.98
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$40.69
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.63
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Norway to score first vs. Brazil?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$96.8
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+358.7%+$184.7
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.9
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.87
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+473%+$996.41
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.6
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 202 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT12346.3%57 W · 66 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.4
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$51.3
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.58
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$66.22
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Athletics (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.28
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.16
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.11
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.02
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT5420.4%11 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Homburg Open: Alexandra Eala vs Elise Mertensbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Targu Mures: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Gabriel Ghetubacked Gabriel Ghetu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
Lexus Eastbourne Open: McCartney Kessler vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.9
Targu Mures: Cezar Cretu vs Akira Santillanbacked Akira Santillan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.8
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Stefano Travaglia vs Luka Mikrutbacked Luka Mikrut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.91
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$205.2
Bad Homburg Open: Solana Sierra vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Maya Joint vs Emiliana Arangobacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Hannah Klugman vs Tereza Valentovabacked Hannah Klugman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daria Snigur vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+300%+$59.99
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Magdalena Frechbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Bad Homburg Open: Clara Tauson vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Marc Polmansbacked Abedallah Shelbayh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Brescia: Xiyu Wang vs Mayar Sherifbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskovabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Daria Snigurbacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paulbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$73.8
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Bad Homburg Open: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$70.2
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+223.6%+$44.22
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Peyton Stearns vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevezbacked Juan Estevez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Charles Broombacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Simona Waltertbacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT4146.3%19 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$261
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$83
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.32
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.75
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.74
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+215.6%+$64.9
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,819Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$1,059.63
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$181.93
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$162.38
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+205.5%+$1,547.05
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.99
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Bbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34.38
Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5)backed CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$59.15
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$195.42
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.33
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group Cbacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$8.36
Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO5) - ESL Challenger League South America Finals Playoffsbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$92.06
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Rebels Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Bebop (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Dbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Alliance (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$27.9
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.8
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Oxuji Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.24
All 24 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$37.15
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+260.5%+$35.62
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.77
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.68
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+291.3%+$133.24
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+175.6%+$125.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked InterActive Philippines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.48
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Dota 2: Rostikfacekid Club vs VooDooSh Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Playoffsbacked VooDooSh Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$41.99
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.99
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Chandogs vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Amaru Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Dota 2: Stray Club vs Daxak Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group Bbacked Stray Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+115.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+77%+$130.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.