MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa02879f996b27c511cdc8a443428ae7a068f45295e5b141d00af299f238680cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 48c | 103,678$49,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,912.62 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 52c | 45,081$23,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,442.24 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 35,367$18,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,388.01 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 11,101$5,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,772.72 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 48c | 10,440$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,439.96 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 55c | 9,103$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 51c | 7,500$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 6,379$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.3 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 5,589$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,996.88 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 46c | 4,350$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.94 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 42c | 3,026$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.37 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 2,163$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 56c | 1,923$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.12 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.05 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 1,158$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.96 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 47c | 1,108$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.18 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 18c | 1,039$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 999.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 50c | 999.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 52c | 786.59$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.66 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 719.99$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.51 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 44c | 708.77$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.23 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 597.74$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.14 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 51c | 501$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.05 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 40c | 453.81$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.32 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 48c | 440$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.77 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 54c | 433.6$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.86 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 389.92$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.28 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 51c | 375$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466a…76e7backed Under | 63c | 352.69$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 52c | 343.57$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.66 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 66c | 341.04$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.12 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…08acbacked Over | 45c | 197.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 45c | 192.73$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 55c | 192.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 33c | 164.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 32c | 161.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Over | 53c | 155.13$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 127.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 47c | 125.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 50c | 121.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 48c | 102.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 53c | 96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 95.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 89.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 43c | 89.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Over | 46c | 79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 27c | 75.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 36c | 72.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 48c | 72.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 64c | 68.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Under | 47c | 66.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Over | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 55c | 51.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Under | 56c | 38.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Under | 53c | 37.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 48c | 31.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8d…6c09backed Over | 39c | 26.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Under | 48c | 25.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 54c | 24.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…c62dbacked Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 54c | 20.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York YankeesCincinnati Reds won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.