MLB · resolved market

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd14da9be3e2dd833144b534e016d066d5071b896383cbcc867eee13908b104a6

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, New York Yankees
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $563,242
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $575,002

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,242 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed New York Yankees	52c	190,835$100,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100,148.69	481	48.6%234 W · 247 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	64,145$28,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,714.15	4,368	47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L	-79.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe54…41d6backed Cincinnati Reds	49c	55,333$27,322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,011.48	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds	63c	24,121$15,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,902.63	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	19,243$9,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,041.29	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	16,284$7,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,467.66	121	49.6%60 W · 61 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Cincinnati Reds	47c	15,191$7,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,051.21	285	53.3%152 W · 133 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees	52c	14,956$7,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,777	1,681	50.1%842 W · 839 L	-22.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Cincinnati Reds	49c	12,147$5,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,245.94	146	48.6%71 W · 75 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds	47c	11,783$5,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,196.89	1,527	51.1%780 W · 747 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	11,766$5,681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,085.18	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Cincinnati Reds	47c	11,461$5,387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,074.33	925	54.1%500 W · 425 L	+23.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Cincinnati Reds	47c	10,638$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,638.29	356	43.5%155 W · 201 L	-17.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked New York Yankees	54c	9,259$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	84	47.6%40 W · 44 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds	50c	9,000$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,500	771	53.8%415 W · 356 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed New York Yankees	41c	7,286$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…c3b2backed Cincinnati Reds	49c	7,143$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,642.86	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Yankees	51c	6,694$3,407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,406.56	2,310	52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L	+27.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed New York Yankees	50c	6,512$3,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,255.99	1,586	48.5%770 W · 816 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Yankees	51c	6,405$3,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,292.03	1,293	47.3%611 W · 682 L	-18.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees	40c	6,329$2,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,553.27	3,041	48%1,461 W · 1,580 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds	62c	4,076$2,517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,558.68	970	44.9%436 W · 534 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds	59c	4,041$2,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,651.77	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed New York Yankees	19c	4,000$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.99	68	29.4%20 W · 48 L	-5.7wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees	51c	3,999$2,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,057.61	4,405	44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L	+80.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees	51c	3,780$1,919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,918.86	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Yankees	63c	3,771$2,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,381.18	381	33.6%128 W · 253 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked New York Yankees	52c	3,500$1,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,820	447	49.2%220 W · 227 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees	44c	3,430$1,502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,502.17	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked New York Yankees	46c	3,147$1,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,461.25	912	52.4%478 W · 434 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Cincinnati Reds	65c	3,000$1,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds	64c	2,912$1,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,036	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	2,862$984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,878.02	718	50.1%360 W · 358 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Cincinnati Reds	49c	2,750$1,347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,402.45	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe609…4fddbacked New York Yankees	7c	2,741$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees	49c	2,723$1,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,334.34	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Cincinnati Reds	49c	2,500$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,275	247	39.3%97 W · 150 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed New York Yankees	51c	2,278$1,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,161.75	900	53.6%482 W · 418 L	+24.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdef…7f98backed Cincinnati Reds	52c	2,115$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,015.38	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Yankees	30c	2,057$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625	1,139	42.7%486 W · 653 L	+11.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040	432	53.9%233 W · 199 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed New York Yankees	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	792	47.5%376 W · 416 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Cincinnati Reds	46c	1,995$921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,074.32	338	64.2%217 W · 121 L	+23.1wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed New York Yankees	22c	1,965$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.22	2,172	39.9%866 W · 1,306 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed New York Yankees	57c	1,754$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	124	50%62 W · 62 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	1,750$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$910	493	58.8%290 W · 203 L	+30.9wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked New York Yankees	32c	1,563$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	14	85.7%12 W · 2 L	+5.7wins	+0.41per pick	45cpaid	+100.5%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Cincinnati Reds	47c	1,543$726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$816.72	926	45.9%425 W · 501 L	-12.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Cincinnati Reds	47c	1,521$719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.1	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked New York Yankees	50c	1,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	252	49.2%124 W · 128 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees	52c	1,463$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$755.96	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds	65c	1,439$937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.77	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds	51c	1,429$724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.29	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Cincinnati Reds	55c	1,428$786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.61	1,607	53.2%855 W · 752 L	+74.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked New York Yankees	67c	1,379$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Cincinnati Reds	48c	1,300$624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676	178	53.4%95 W · 83 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Cincinnati Reds	50c	1,200$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	398	46.5%185 W · 213 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed New York Yankees	48c	1,169$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.34	222	41%91 W · 131 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds	59c	1,152$683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468.75	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked New York Yankees	59c	1,118$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.53	94	35.1%33 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed New York Yankees	51c	1,100$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.99	210	52.9%111 W · 99 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b94…b660backed New York Yankees	48c	1,056$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.11	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x429e…41bdbacked Cincinnati Reds	47c	1,050$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.47	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+3.0wins	+0.23per pick	46cpaid	+58.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees	58c	1,004$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.6	5,149	54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L	+231.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Cincinnati Reds	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…d4acbacked Cincinnati Reds	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	84	46.4%39 W · 45 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Cincinnati Reds	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	514	49.2%253 W · 261 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Cincinnati Reds	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	133	45.9%61 W · 72 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Cincinnati Reds	47c	952.3$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.72	273	51.3%140 W · 133 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed New York Yankees	28c	933.6$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.04	881	53.7%473 W · 408 L	+40.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Cincinnati Reds	49c	915.27$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.79	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees	51c	881.37$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.55	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked New York Yankees	58c	873$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.63	158	40.5%64 W · 94 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds	54c	867.34$466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.83	1,520	59.1%899 W · 621 L	+78.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed New York Yankees	24c	833.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	98	51%50 W · 48 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked New York Yankees	26c	826.92$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215	111	29.7%33 W · 78 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Cincinnati Reds	49c	816.32$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.32	963	49%472 W · 491 L	-39.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa689…15fcbacked New York Yankees	52c	800.29$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.55	243	46.9%114 W · 129 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Cincinnati Reds	77c	799$618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.07	405	43.5%176 W · 229 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab00…f0c8backed Cincinnati Reds	66c	769.9$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.77	22	81.8%18 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	72cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x783e…2eadbacked Cincinnati Reds	67c	760.76$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.05	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2df…1198backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	754.66$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.66	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Cincinnati Reds	47c	730$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390.45	710	44.5%316 W · 394 L	-23.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Cincinnati Reds	60c	723$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.02	955	55.2%527 W · 428 L	+30.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked New York Yankees	33c	717.92$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	109	13.8%15 W · 94 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Cincinnati Reds	51c	702.08$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.02	296	56.1%166 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Cincinnati Reds	45c	660.46$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.26	1,358	50.8%690 W · 668 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked New York Yankees	50c	610$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.9	826	36.6%302 W · 524 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Cincinnati Reds	48c	558.97$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.66	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed New York Yankees	51c	549.02$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	125	44%55 W · 70 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked New York Yankees	57c	546.09$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.59	259	50.2%130 W · 129 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcd…0320backed New York Yankees	57c	524.14$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.76	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked New York Yankees	48c	507.5$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.31	274	50.7%139 W · 135 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Yankees	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	1,538	48.6%747 W · 791 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed New York Yankees	42c	495.15$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.83	159	49.7%79 W · 80 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds	45c	480.6$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.33	2,149	50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L	+28.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked New York Yankees	45c	478.77$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.29	5,812	43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L	-188.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Cincinnati Reds	52c	465.74$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.32	1,121	44.1%494 W · 627 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Cincinnati Reds	51c	465.7$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.31	575	48%276 W · 299 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds	47c	454.43$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.85	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesthis page
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. New York YankeesNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event