TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2bb4…4551

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
477
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT21152.6%111 W · 100 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 211 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.35
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.22
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.28
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.33
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.45
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.15
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.76
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.61
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$32.71
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.25
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.71
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.02
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.23
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.56
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.94
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$28.88
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$20.44
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.49
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.23
Showing 25 of 211 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT10939.4%43 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monterrey Open: Shuai Zhang vs Maria Timofeevabacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.7
Monterrey Open: Camila Osorio vs Ann Libacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$21.77
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Cincinnati Open: Xinyu Wang vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Cincinnati Open: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Anna Blinkovabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.1
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.22
Cincinnati Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$15.99
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensikbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osakabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shangbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$51.38
National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.22
National Bank Open: Valentin Royer vs Tommy Paulbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+135.9%+$21.9
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+154.7%+$40.57
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+138.3%+$32.61
Canadian Open: Zachary Svajda vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$16.68
Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.89
National Bank Open: Renata Zarazua vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.45
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$32.18
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$64.81
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$21.15
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT8149.4%40 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.12
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$16.26
Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+105%+$12.75
Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.46
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.02
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.95
Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Libertybacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.14
Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$22.21
Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 163.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.23
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-4.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$53.05
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.71
Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 186.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.26
Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)backed Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+102.3%+$40.06
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$24.45
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 188.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.39
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.18
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.02
France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.3
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$32.14
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$29.35
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.62
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.11
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.97
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+525%+$110.25
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.41
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.41
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.1
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$54
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.69
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.21
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$126.56
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.35
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$29.23
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+300%+$97.77
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$150.7
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.86
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kauê Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.08
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Chidi Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$66.74
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bruno Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.54
UFC Fight Night: Gigi Canuto vs. Carol Foro (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Gigi Canuto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Duško Todorovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.53
UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Noah Gugnon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$17.13
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mike Davis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.2
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Muhammad Said · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+162.4%+$28.5
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$70.51
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+133.8%+$45.81
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Tracy Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.84
UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Zachary Reese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.14
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michel Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.29
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Matheus Camilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+159.3%+$220.9
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.38
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.59
UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Bekzat Almakhan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.72
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ion Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Mitch Raposo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$23.01
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.24
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$10.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$16.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.