UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8132b81ee6eeb1c9cb58ea57e4c6862b2a18689f6fb6f41b3d040fd356d693a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navajo Stirlingof Ion Cutelaba, Navajo Stirling
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $439,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $457,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Ion Cutelaba | 24c | 179,512$43,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,587.7 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Navajo Stirling | 77c | 134,960$103,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,334.94 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Navajo Stirling | 75c | 134,714$101,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,691.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…a775backed Ion Cutelaba | 23c | 35,828$8,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,240.35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ion Cutelaba | 25c | 35,804$8,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,993.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Navajo Stirling | 76c | 26,000$19,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,130 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ion Cutelaba | 23c | 25,356$5,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,919.21 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Ion Cutelaba | 24c | 12,840$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.6 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Navajo Stirling | 77c | 8,866$6,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.34 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ion Cutelaba | 22c | 8,358$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.87 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Navajo Stirling | 75c | 6,888$5,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Ion Cutelaba | 25c | 5,770$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.65 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Ion Cutelaba | 23c | 5,668$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.71 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Navajo Stirling | 68c | 5,524$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.93 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ion Cutelaba | 24c | 5,374$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.26 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Ion Cutelaba | 25c | 5,369$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.22 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Navajo Stirling | 76c | 4,998$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.6 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ion Cutelaba | 21c | 4,018$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.82 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Navajo Stirling | 74c | 3,940$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.18 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Navajo Stirling | 78c | 3,810$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.18 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Ion Cutelaba | 30c | 3,725$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.59 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80dd…3c83backed Ion Cutelaba | 27c | 3,499$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Ion Cutelaba | 40c | 3,490$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.1 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Ion Cutelaba | 13c | 3,153$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.06 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Navajo Stirling | 78c | 2,821$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.51 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Navajo Stirling | 52c | 2,739$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.67 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Ion Cutelaba | 30c | 2,503$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.13 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Ion Cutelaba | 24c | 2,500$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…6ea2backed Ion Cutelaba | 27c | 2,360$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.68 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Navajo Stirling | 74c | 2,147$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.22 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Ion Cutelaba | 24c | 2,143$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.37 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Navajo Stirling | 71c | 2,100$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.01 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Ion Cutelaba | 25c | 2,009$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.22 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Navajo Stirling | 74c | 2,005$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.53 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Navajo Stirling | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.1 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Ion Cutelaba | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Navajo Stirling | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Navajo Stirling | 76c | 1,980$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.2 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Navajo Stirling | 76c | 1,974$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.76 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Ion Cutelaba | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ion Cutelaba | 26c | 1,908$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.14 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…ee37backed Navajo Stirling | 77c | 1,836$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.66 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Navajo Stirling | 73c | 1,773$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.08 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ion Cutelaba | 49c | 1,707$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.25 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Navajo Stirling | 74c | 1,609$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.14 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Ion Cutelaba | 33c | 1,510$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.24 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Ion Cutelaba | 24c | 1,333$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.92 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Ion Cutelaba | 24c | 1,300$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Navajo Stirling | 72c | 1,293$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.64 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Ion Cutelaba | 18c | 1,246$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.59 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Ion Cutelaba | 28c | 1,154$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.66 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Ion Cutelaba | 24c | 1,004$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Ion Cutelaba | 21c | 1,000$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.38 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Navajo Stirling | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Navajo Stirling | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Navajo Stirling | 74c | 1,000$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.06 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Ion Cutelaba | 2c | 990$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583d…d79bbacked Ion Cutelaba | 27c | 949.99$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Navajo Stirling | 73c | 883.32$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Navajo Stirling | 78c | 800$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.1 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Ion Cutelaba | 26c | 788.77$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.19 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Ion Cutelaba | 30c | 774$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.36 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Ion Cutelaba | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Navajo Stirling | 74c | 764.16$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.16 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Ion Cutelaba | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Navajo Stirling | 65c | 733.29$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.89 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Navajo Stirling | 69c | 712.96$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.96 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…1e52backed Navajo Stirling | 71c | 702.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.43 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Ion Cutelaba | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded6…f649backed Navajo Stirling | 78c | 599.03$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Navajo Stirling | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Navajo Stirling | 72c | 530.17$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.57 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…b574backed Navajo Stirling | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Navajo Stirling | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Ion Cutelaba | 28c | 450$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Ion Cutelaba | 25c | 419.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Navajo Stirling | 75c | 409.98$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Navajo Stirling | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Ion Cutelaba | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Ion Cutelaba | 25c | 399.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e7…43c0backed Navajo Stirling | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Navajo Stirling | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f49…231dbacked Ion Cutelaba | 26c | 383.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…1d45backed Ion Cutelaba | 27c | 380$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Navajo Stirling | 63c | 376.71$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b1…0d02backed Ion Cutelaba | 27c | 376.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcff8…bea7backed Ion Cutelaba | 27c | 357.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Ion Cutelaba | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed Navajo Stirling | 74c | 354.79$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 241 | 61.8%149 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Navajo Stirling | 72c | 337.66$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6b…2a84backed Navajo Stirling | 76c | 325.04$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Ion Cutelaba | 24c | 323.95$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x235f…9225backed Ion Cutelaba | 33c | 300.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Ion Cutelaba | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…239ebacked Navajo Stirling | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Ion Cutelaba | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Ion Cutelaba | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…714ebacked Ion Cutelaba | 24c | 290.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Navajo Stirling | 77c | 286.21$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Navajo Stirling | 74c | 272.4$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Navajo Stirling win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.