TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x235f…9225

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.41
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$87.75
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+159.2%+$159.23
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$1,005.35
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.08
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.09
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.47
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.31
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$46.04
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$36.57
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$96.67
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$997.75
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.76
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$178.23
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-53%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.32
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.74
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$209.91
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.54
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.28
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$145.38
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.9
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.62
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.74
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$162.96
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.85
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. KT Wizbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kia Tigersbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$67.43
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.01
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. LG Twinsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$55.64
All 4 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$23.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ion Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)backed Ulsan HD FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.