TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rotterdam Open: Valentin Royer vs Christopher O'Connell

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
O'Connellof Royer, O'Connell
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$586,857
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$610,494

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $586,857 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Royer39c200,000$78,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,999.9810931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed O'Connell46c100,734$46,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,364.61,63450%817 W · 817 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed O'Connell76c79,685$60,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,124.511242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked O'Connell59c79,116$46,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,319.9380938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Royer43c38,037$16,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,490.888825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Royer54c33,167$17,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,910.1616242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Royer22c16,817$3,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,651.921,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked O'Connell62c12,499$7,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,804.8511,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed O'Connell46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.9943051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Royer34c9,950$3,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,393.3892655.9%518 W · 408 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed O'Connell72c9,839$7,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,754.851,18848.9%581 W · 607 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed O'Connell74c9,160$6,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,381.539953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Royer54c8,066$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,350.4575046.8%351 W · 399 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed O'Connell48c7,895$3,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,113.7519134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Royer45c6,684$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00044754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb229…7298backed Royer54c6,525$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,516.642842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Royer32c6,473$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.7136554.2%198 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked O'Connell70c6,006$4,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.923852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed O'Connell79c5,338$4,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.022343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Royer54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked O'Connell65c4,988$3,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.537,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Royer11c4,926$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.593417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Royer28c3,535$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.4165647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Royer55c3,502$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.2257939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Royer44c3,500$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed O'Connell46c3,418$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.3225428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Royer39c3,247$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.289541.1%39 W · 56 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed O'Connell65c3,095$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.325253.8%28 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7750…a3f3backed Royer21c2,747$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.7211215.2%17 W · 95 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked O'Connell46c2,304$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.336439.1%25 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed O'Connell46c2,258$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.3221338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Royer37c2,038$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.613,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Royer40c1,875$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.151,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Royer38c1,708$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.2597046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eda…93ccbacked Royer20c1,700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.6540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed O'Connell53c1,679$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.497444.6%33 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed O'Connell60c1,678$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.512,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Royer35c1,611$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.8925152.6%132 W · 119 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked O'Connell62c1,568$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.382,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b39…bc92backed Royer57c1,389$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed O'Connell48c1,367$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.021,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Royer15c1,269$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.064332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed O'Connell71c1,250$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.57037.1%26 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed O'Connell64c1,178$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.542,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Royer35c1,148$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.392,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Royer53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.4219846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Royer41c1,077$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.784,41151.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L+137.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked O'Connell47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5307736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed O'Connell47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53011353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Royer31c903.23$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28012627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Royer56c895.21$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed O'Connell65c779.58$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.268,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed O'Connell67c769.84$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.0521843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed O'Connell46c762$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.481,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Royer27c760.07$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.228446.4%39 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x050f…0f26backed Royer12c705$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5570%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed O'Connell60c698.59$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.696,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad4e…12f1backed Royer43c690.73$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.92650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed O'Connell80c680.75$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.539264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked O'Connell74c666.13$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.2863247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed O'Connell46c647.01$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35210739.3%42 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked O'Connell46c635.23$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.0215832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa824…c9fcbacked Royer24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Royer19c564.88$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.484736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Royer32c560.2$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.996033.3%20 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Royer27c559.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Royer54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30078052.7%411 W · 369 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Royer38c552.76$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0749143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Royer47c550$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.151030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2315…f55bbacked Royer33c545.85$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.093764.9%24 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec2…c5f1backed O'Connell70c536.25$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.713372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+32.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed O'Connell67c520.49$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4852037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Royer39c516$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.421,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x164e…c2a2backed O'Connell47c514.58$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.633542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee4…ace2backed Royer53c506$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.18862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed Royer25c467.28$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.826648.5%32 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked O'Connell78c459.23$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0325556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Royer27c458.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Royer54c435.93$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23513826.1%36 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Royer54c429.99$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.1913560.7%82 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed O'Connell47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5340141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed O'Connell48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6765651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Royer38c410.59$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.994330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Royer25c389$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1310036%36 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked O'Connell53c388.24$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.4588446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Royer30c376$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.875648.7%368 W · 388 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf74…1a7abacked Royer54c371.87$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Royer54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006258.1%36 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Royer39c361.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402,14454.2%1,162 W · 982 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x315c…593bbacked Royer34c355.77$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.61060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Royer26c317.35$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.62832.1%9 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ff…38f5backed O'Connell49c317.2$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.35560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed O'Connell78c306.56$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5616665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Royer37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11118250%91 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Royer33c300$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7716856%94 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Royer40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12046649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked O'Connell65c290.24$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.594250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Royer54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15069350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed O'Connell69c273$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7788455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Royer44c271.2$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.