TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7750…a3f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
164
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT11215.2%17 W · 95 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.11
Wimbledon ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Michael Zhengbacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.97
Wimbledon ATP: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.91
Wimbledon ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Tommy Paulbacked Soon-Woo Kwon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$592.19
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Troyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Marko Topobacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Quito: Pedro Sakamoto vs Alan Magadanbacked Alan Magadan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$106.25
Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Jointbacked Serena Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Wimbledon ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuelbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+137.3%+$368
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$665.23
Wimbledon ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+808.6%+$2,202.79
Wimbledon ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jaime Fariabacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Milan: Raul Brancaccio vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$758Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$757.93
Roland Garros WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keysbacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Camila Osoriobacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.84
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$407.98
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tienbacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Roland Garros ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.77
Roland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Fariabacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Roland Garros WTA: Donna Vekic vs Naomi Osakabacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.85
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$563.86
Rockets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$575.61
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+88.8%+$355.71
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+130.8%+$651.46
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+53.8%+$314.88
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$389
Grizzlies vs. Wizardsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$105.28
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+284.6%+$708.69
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$245
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+132.6%+$265.12
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+426.3%+$298.42
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+343.1%+$515.26
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,019Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+90.4%+$921.37
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$520.41
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$464.13
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$255.56
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$730.17
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+284.6%+$284.62
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+167.7%+$167.67
Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will West Ham United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.8%+$517.53
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$42
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,814Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,813.53
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$61.06
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$400.68
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+47.1%+$94.12
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+84.5%+$477.73
Will Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+194.1%+$112.59
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.