NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6ed88ba635f3a0dc9b72ee699c4b0c0eb7d47732894ab24adcba9891eb4cdc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,283,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,486,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,283,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,508 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat | 36c | 309,322$112,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196,526.46 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Pistons | 65c | 151,157$98,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,421.53 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Pistons | 63c | 85,046$53,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,579.26 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons | 3c | 83,414$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.71 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Pistons | 64c | 50,000$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,000 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 64c | 49,535$31,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,709.14 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Heat | 64c | 49,034$31,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,685.15 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 58c | 39,549$22,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,710.58 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pistons | 16c | 38,886$6,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,364.94 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Pistons | 63c | 37,500$23,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,774.92 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Pistons | 64c | 30,035$19,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,322.43 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 36c | 27,665$9,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,705.52 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Heat | 36c | 25,015$9,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,009.58 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Heat | 36c | 25,000$8,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,099.97 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Heat | 34c | 25,000$8,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,559.93 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…bf49backed Pistons | 24c | 24,860$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 64c | 22,271$14,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,217.4 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Pistons | 64c | 20,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,899.94 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Pistons | 40c | 18,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Heat | 35c | 16,924$5,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000.89 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 35c | 16,313$5,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,728.91 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pistons | 49c | 15,231$7,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,515.28 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Heat | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pistons | 15c | 13,957$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.6 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Pistons | 34c | 13,292$4,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,481.06 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Pistons | 1c | 13,208$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 67c | 12,063$8,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pistons | 65c | 12,045$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Pistons | 3c | 11,334$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Pistons | 11c | 11,251$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.87 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Pistons | 56c | 11,198$6,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,272.7 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Pistons | 64c | 10,997$7,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,012.8 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heat | 52c | 10,698$5,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,085.45 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Pistons | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.9 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Heat | 36c | 9,998$3,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,398.71 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Heat | 35c | 8,279$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,371.17 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Pistons | 65c | 8,018$5,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,183.99 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…6f30backed Pistons | 45c | 7,847$3,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,531.05 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Heat | 43c | 7,745$3,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,412.86 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c3…bac5backed Pistons | 34c | 7,745$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pistons | 34c | 7,652$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.66 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Heat | 34c | 7,510$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,956.6 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Pistons | 66c | 7,001$4,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620.66 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Pistons | 63c | 7,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…e675backed Heat | 52c | 6,944$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.47 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…4149backed Pistons | 66c | 6,700$4,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,421.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pistons | 65c | 6,628$4,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,308.2 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8692…f1bcbacked Pistons | 66c | 6,400$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Heat | 52c | 6,400$3,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.27 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pistons | 0c | 6,298$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons | 1c | 6,217$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Heat | 62c | 6,189$3,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.13 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x017f…52e3backed Pistons | 66c | 6,100$4,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,026 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Heat | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.99 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Pistons | 45c | 6,000$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.99 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Heat | 34c | 5,797$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.79 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Pistons | 12c | 5,793$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.06 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…7b27backed Pistons | 65c | 5,791$3,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,764.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Pistons | 14c | 5,787$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…8400backed Heat | 35c | 5,776$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b9…5e62backed Pistons | 5c | 5,610$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3643…7f8ebacked Pistons | 66c | 5,600$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,695.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons | 64c | 5,539$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.91 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Pistons | 63c | 5,500$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Heat | 37c | 5,500$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.98 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Heat | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.41 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 55c | 5,365$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.53 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…b7a6backed Heat | 34c | 5,100$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Heat | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Heat | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.97 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Heat | 35c | 4,800$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.99 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb802…5bbebacked Pistons | 67c | 4,478$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pistons | 37c | 4,461$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.31 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pistons | 21c | 4,326$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.31 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Pistons | 16c | 4,315$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Pistons | 64c | 4,305$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…13d1backed Heat | 34c | 4,300$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pistons | 25c | 4,299$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.4 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Heat | 60c | 4,114$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.4 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Heat | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…a73ebacked Heat | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Heat | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.98 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…8d9dbacked Pistons | 57c | 3,737$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Heat | 38c | 3,652$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.56 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…3579backed Heat | 35c | 3,600$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.98 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pistons | 4c | 3,508$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.6 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Pistons | 43c | 3,502$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.81 | 266 | 59%157 W · 109 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Heat | 36c | 3,434$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.75 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Pistons | 40c | 3,429$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.54 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons | 30c | 3,347$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.36 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Heat | 36c | 3,331$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.56 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Heat | 36c | 3,327$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.09 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d86fbacked Pistons | 32c | 3,314$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…b663backed Pistons | 5c | 3,289$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.48 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Heat | 37c | 3,223$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.55 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Pistons | 13c | 3,178$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a976backed Pistons | 25c | 3,137$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Pistons | 40c | 3,125$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Pistons | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Pistonsthis page
- Heat vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Heat vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Heat vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5Under won
- Heat vs. Pistons: O/U 237.5Under won
- Heat vs. Pistons: O/U 238.5Under won
- Heat vs. Pistons: O/U 239.5Under won
- Heat vs. Pistons: O/U 240.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Heat won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.