TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x166a…e675

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: College Football, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,276.28
Hornets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,752Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,752.45
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$646.27
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$2,171.92
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$881.29
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+127.3%+$100.82
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$3,404.91
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,849Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+163.2%+$3,017.43
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,144.44
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$520.22
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,452Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+143.9%+$4,967.89
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$8,831Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$8,830.6
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$9,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$9,746.15
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20,777.95
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10,995.59
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10,147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+376.2%+$38,173.82
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15,024.09
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$9,996Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+236.6%+$23,655.6
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20,063Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+247.5%+$49,656.47
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20,045Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+153.9%+$30,859.14
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,073.15
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,782Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$4,781.95
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10,001.52
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,790Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+108.8%+$5,211.05
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$3,210.53
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,631Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$4,631.28
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22,948Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22,947.92
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32,097Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+108.7%+$34,887.68
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$9,997Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+306.6%+$30,646.5
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12,269Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+216.6%+$26,577.3
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$9,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$9,966
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,303
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16,104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13,170.68
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$8,457Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+110.1%+$9,310.22
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,238.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+93.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,796Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+43%+$2,060.36
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+268.9%+$11,121.05
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,685.08
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,060.35
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$9,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$9,684.52
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$7,218Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+76.6%+$5,531.84
USC vs. TCUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+778.3%+$2,036.87
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+74.8%+$751.06
Toledo vs. Louisvillebacked Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$250.45
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+92.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+493%+$5,485.15
San Jose State Spartans vs. Boise State Broncosbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$510.35
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$5,454.13
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,022Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+58.9%+$1,191.6
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Merrimack College Warriorsbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,104.94
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$116.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.