NFL · resolved market
Colts vs. Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9882cb6645c3817dc4a7101661558d56e36d101433d8db8fac85730e01333e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Colts, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,602,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,797,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,602,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 447 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Colts | 27c | 341,730$93,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,911.16 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Colts | 17c | 89,396$15,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,432.58 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texans | 59c | 75,366$44,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,963.83 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Colts | 24c | 39,466$9,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,466.59 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Texans | 77c | 36,711$28,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,561.84 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Colts | 62c | 36,322$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,500 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.3wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Colts | 5c | 26,885$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.05 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Colts | 17c | 22,982$3,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,907.02 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Colts | 17c | 21,458$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,647.81 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colts | 6c | 21,365$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.77 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Colts | 17c | 17,992$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.6 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Texans | 73c | 17,430$12,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,644.29 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Colts | 0c | 17,353$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colts | 29c | 16,229$4,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,713.2 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Colts | 4c | 14,932$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.35 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Texans | 40c | 14,466$5,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,709.61 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Colts | 18c | 14,403$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.61 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Texans | 50c | 13,580$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,780.03 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Colts | 33c | 13,339$4,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,440.64 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texans | 50c | 12,143$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,093.04 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…bb31backed Colts | 20c | 11,409$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colts | 22c | 9,936$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.09 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Colts | 17c | 9,710$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.69 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Colts | 18c | 9,360$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.4 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Colts | 29c | 9,343$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Colts | 6c | 8,831$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.34 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Colts | 17c | 6,666$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.55 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Texans | 52c | 6,140$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.39 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…ef4ebacked Texans | 80c | 6,100$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…6dd0backed Colts | 17c | 6,087$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Texans | 68c | 5,206$3,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.36 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed Colts | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Texans | 56c | 4,809$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.25 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a14…fddabacked Texans | 71c | 4,662$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Colts | 20c | 4,658$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Colts | 19c | 4,223$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.29 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…36a6backed Texans | 43c | 4,120$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…cd94backed Colts | 18c | 4,105$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.91 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colts | 17c | 4,037$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.65 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texans | 73c | 4,024$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.63 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Colts | 17c | 4,024$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.02 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Colts | 41c | 4,004$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.8 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Colts | 1c | 3,750$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Texans | 80c | 3,550$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Texans | 50c | 3,052$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Colts | 16c | 2,984$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.64 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…530abacked Texans | 46c | 2,867$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Colts | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 36cpaid | +115%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…e675backed Colts | 49c | 2,659$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Colts | 14c | 2,631$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Colts | 20c | 2,622$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.76 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Colts | 60c | 2,584$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 67cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Colts | 16c | 2,560$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…c549backed Colts | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Colts | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Colts | 16c | 2,487$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.58 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Texans | 49c | 2,423$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.48 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Colts | 17c | 2,353$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…3542backed Texans | 47c | 2,337$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Colts | 1c | 2,333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Colts | 19c | 2,100$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Colts | 40c | 2,078$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.04 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Colts | 15c | 2,033$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.45 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Colts | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Colts | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Texans | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Texans | 61c | 2,000$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.99 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Colts | 49c | 1,882$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.96 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…fde3backed Colts | 53c | 1,869$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Colts | 1c | 1,811$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Texans | 80c | 1,800$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Colts | 29c | 1,764$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.88 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Colts | 23c | 1,748$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.86 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colts | 17c | 1,719$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.26 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed Texans | 58c | 1,719$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…dc15backed Texans | 55c | 1,665$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.33 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Colts | 17c | 1,600$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Colts | 18c | 1,554$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.17 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Colts | 8c | 1,550$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Texans | 66c | 1,519$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.47 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Colts | 16c | 1,500$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.8 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Texans | 57c | 1,491$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.14 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83a…6bfcbacked Texans | 50c | 1,404$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked Colts | 14c | 1,394$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Texans | 59c | 1,390$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.29 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colts | 21c | 1,368$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.53 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Colts | 31c | 1,334$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Texans | 61c | 1,279$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.95 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…0ba7backed Texans | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Colts | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Colts | 17c | 1,201$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.09 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Texans | 59c | 1,190$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.3 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed Texans | 74c | 1,145$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…a3dcbacked Texans | 57c | 1,145$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Texans | 44c | 1,138$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Colts | 53c | 1,098$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.78 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Colts | 32c | 1,070$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Texans | 67c | 1,061$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.06 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Colts | 49c | 1,060$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.66 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…d34abacked Colts | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colts vs. Texansthis page
- 1H Spread: Texans (-6.5)Colts won
- Colts vs. Texans: 1H MoneylineTexans won
- Colts vs. Texans: O/U 37.5Over won
- Colts vs. Texans: O/U 38.5Over won
- Colts vs. Texans: O/U 39.5Over won
- Colts vs. Texans: O/U 40.5Over won
- Colts vs. Texans: O/U 53.5Over won
- Spread: Texans (-10.5)Colts won
- Spread: Texans (-11.5)Colts won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.