NFL · resolved market
Spread: Texans (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x512e9617bb2acee5ed7ba56a38bdcd47b511ae310438f7fed2cae04b7ca879cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coltsof Texans, Colts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Colts | 53c | 20,480$10,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,658.99 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Texans | 49c | 14,266$6,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,934.73 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Colts | 51c | 12,584$6,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,166.11 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Texans | 47c | 9,834$4,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,587.51 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texans | 45c | 9,560$4,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,342.59 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…4adbbacked Texans | 0c | 8,486$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Texans | 52c | 5,631$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.86 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Colts | 53c | 5,630$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.63 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Texans | 46c | 5,587$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.57 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Colts | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.55 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texans | 47c | 5,331$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.79 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Texans | 47c | 4,100$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Texans | 51c | 4,092$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.22 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Colts | 49c | 4,019$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.69 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Colts | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Texans | 51c | 3,992$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Colts | 54c | 3,973$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.58 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Texans | 50c | 3,750$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.07 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colts | 55c | 3,534$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.46 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Colts | 53c | 2,789$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.83 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colts | 55c | 2,233$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.61 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed Colts | 49c | 2,178$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…a686backed Texans | 51c | 2,132$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Colts | 49c | 2,132$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Colts | 49c | 2,131$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed Texans | 51c | 2,131$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed Texans | 47c | 2,096$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf70d…ef69backed Texans | 51c | 2,085$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…77e4backed Colts | 49c | 2,085$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Colts | 49c | 2,055$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…b291backed Texans | 51c | 2,055$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Texans | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed Colts | 49c | 1,814$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Texans | 48c | 1,806$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Colts | 52c | 1,363$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.92 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Texans | 47c | 1,353$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Texans | 47c | 1,223$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Texans | 49c | 1,222$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.71 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Texans | 50c | 1,096$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.08 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Colts | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Texans | 47c | 969.86$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Colts | 54c | 922.2$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 36cpaid | +115%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Texans | 48c | 662.5$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Texans | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Colts | 52c | 567$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.16 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Colts | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Texans | 47c | 500$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed78…f62bbacked Texans | 51c | 494.8$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texans | 50c | 438$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.92 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Colts | 53c | 425.52$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Texans | 48c | 408.61$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.51 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Texans | 50c | 406.35$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.18 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Texans | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Colts | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Texans | 51c | 375$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Colts | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Colts | 54c | 330$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Texans | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Colts | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Texans | 52c | 251.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Colts | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Texans | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Texans | 45c | 236.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked Texans | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Colts | 54c | 217.8$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Texans | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…2b5bbacked Texans | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Colts | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Texans | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Texans | 48c | 199.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…3ffebacked Texans | 52c | 192.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Colts | 54c | 185.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…a714backed Colts | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Colts | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Texans | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +16.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Colts | 50c | 165.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Texans | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Texans | 48c | 142.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…0b89backed Colts | 71c | 126.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Texans | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Texans | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Texans | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Texans | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Texans | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texans | 45c | 109.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Texans | 49c | 107.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Texans | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Colts | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Texans | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…ac13backed Texans | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed Colts | 61c | 98.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a7…a42bbacked Colts | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Texans | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Colts | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Texans | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Texans | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Texans | 19c | 71.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Texans | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Texans | 47c | 67.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…13f2backed Texans | 47c | 64.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texans (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Texans (-6.5)Colts won
- Colts vs. TexansTexans won
- Colts vs. Texans: 1H MoneylineTexans won
- Colts vs. Texans: O/U 37.5Over won
- Colts vs. Texans: O/U 38.5Over won
- Colts vs. Texans: O/U 39.5Over won
- Colts vs. Texans: O/U 40.5Over won
- Colts vs. Texans: O/U 53.5Over won
- Spread: Texans (-11.5)Colts won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.