TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf34f…4d6e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
293
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 61 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5759.6%34 W · 23 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+296.8%+$1,454.54
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+159%+$1,110.14
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$27.22
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$82.65
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$351
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$82.65
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$62.59
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$106.67
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$99.1
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$65.63
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+77%+$130.88
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$86.67
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$129.51
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$146.74
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$106.42
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.31
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$163.83
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.65
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.83
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$83.39
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$122.73
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$118.46
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$64.14
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$162.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$95.53
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT4647.8%22 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
TreVeyon Henderson: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$95.63
Puka Nacua: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+55.8%+$124.22
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+71.6%+$87.79
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$140
TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$60.12
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+85.2%+$102.22
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$119.26
Colts vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$90
Saints vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Texans (-10.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$74.54
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$149.75
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$138.98
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$272.29
LAR vs. Cardinalsbacked LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+30.6%+$10.55
Bears vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25.1%+$77.79
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4035%14 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+353.2%+$313.34
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$87.28
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$291.18
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+262.2%+$707.97
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$244.12
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+300%+$600
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$703.68
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,049.09
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.82
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.66
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$51.32
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$44.58
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.92
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$65.07
VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.87
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.72
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$101.83
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Cavaliers vs. Netsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$56.67
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$118.26
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$64.91
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+61.3%+$89.48
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$66.66
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$164
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$53.91
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$75.38
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+400%+$64
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.83
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$56.67
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$73.42
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$102.14
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$70.77
Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$93.33
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$61.83
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$115.64
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$86.15
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$104.19
Will Osasuna win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$113.33
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$117
All 19 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+37%+$47.94
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Spread: Ole Miss (-17.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$82.17
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-12.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$220.98
Vanderbilt vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30.43
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$46.67
Miami vs. Pittsburghbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$53.91
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+25%+$50
Vanderbilt vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+48.3%+$131.78
Texas vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$216.19
Tennessee vs. Mississippi Statebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$105.61
LSU vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+135%+$370.75
Auburn vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+27.1%+$80.91
Tulsa vs. Oklahoma Statebacked Oklahoma State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$359
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick62cpaid+53.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$37.69
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.24
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$140.83
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$31.17
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$244.74
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$98.38
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.86
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+44.9%+$53.91
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$115.86
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$129.23
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$80.63
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+37%+$87.66
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$1,875.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.