NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50d6d3fde46f4d141a22712e2a6f356edf8cdddff04242922e806a55ba97c2a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Bills, Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,668,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,433,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,668,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Jaguars | 54c | 2,818,097$1,515,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515,120.69 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bills | 46c | 2,407,457$1,106,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300,760.89 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Jaguars | 54c | 1,017,241$548,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548,609.56 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Jaguars | 54c | 827,661$446,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446,936.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Bills | 46c | 507,455$234,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272,965.2 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…edeabacked Bills | 50c | 398,253$200,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198,105.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Bills | 46c | 387,138$178,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208,183.11 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Bills | 46c | 256,701$117,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,851.78 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Bills | 46c | 225,000$102,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,250 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…6cf0backed Jaguars | 54c | 185,462$99,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,879.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Bills | 46c | 173,913$80,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,913.04 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Bills | 47c | 164,007$76,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,168.91 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bills | 46c | 133,120$61,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,884.8 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bills | 46c | 131,956$60,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,161.94 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Bills | 46c | 129,486$59,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,922.49 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Jaguars | 55c | 120,000$66,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Jaguars | 55c | 112,907$62,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,099 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bills | 47c | 109,226$51,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,093.99 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Jaguars | 53c | 106,691$56,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,546.26 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Bills | 50c | 100,500$50,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,064.97 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Bills | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,000 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bills | 47c | 82,181$38,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,435.83 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Jaguars | 53c | 80,756$43,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,092.38 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bills | 46c | 80,000$36,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,499.83 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Jaguars | 54c | 73,134$39,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,293.39 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Bills | 47c | 72,500$33,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,610 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Bills | 48c | 72,272$34,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,581.25 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bills | 48c | 71,130$33,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,213.69 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bills | 47c | 70,981$33,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,390.1 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bills | 48c | 62,380$29,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,731.38 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Bills | 51c | 53,428$27,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,157.35 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…e661backed Jaguars | 50c | 50,793$25,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,396.56 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Bills | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,499.88 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Jaguars | 53c | 47,542$25,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,200.1 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…45c6backed Jaguars | 53c | 47,170$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Jaguars | 45c | 44,860$20,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,171.1 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jaguars | 49c | 43,941$21,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,493.23 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Jaguars | 63c | 43,157$27,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,040.17 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bills | 46c | 43,000$19,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,220 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Jaguars | 51c | 42,380$21,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,574.87 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Jaguars | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,199.99 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Jaguars | 56c | 39,480$22,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,109.04 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Jaguars | 45c | 39,269$17,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,813.47 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Jaguars | 54c | 38,075$20,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,651 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…59f6backed Jaguars | 53c | 38,053$20,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,168.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Jaguars | 52c | 38,000$19,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,920 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Jaguars | 60c | 37,454$22,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,606.69 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Jaguars | 53c | 35,000$18,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,550 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…bfaebacked Bills | 47c | 35,000$16,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Bills | 42c | 34,950$14,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,154 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Jaguars | 58c | 34,577$20,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,127.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…2497backed Jaguars | 54c | 34,000$18,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jaguars | 54c | 31,254$16,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,849.91 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Bills | 47c | 31,034$14,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,457.7 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…c20bbacked Jaguars | 54c | 31,000$16,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,740 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Bills | 47c | 31,000$14,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,430 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Bills | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,500 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e22…4d48backed Bills | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Bills | 46c | 30,000$13,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,349.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Jaguars | 52c | 29,036$15,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,031.04 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bills | 46c | 26,664$12,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,454.31 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Bills | 43c | 25,118$10,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,341.24 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Jaguars | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,250 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Bills | 60c | 24,886$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,885.66 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Bills | 47c | 24,802$11,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,145.13 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jaguars | 53c | 23,900$12,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,733.06 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Bills | 41c | 23,775$9,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,121.95 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jaguars | 56c | 23,023$12,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,820.62 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Jaguars | 1c | 22,664$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.69 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Bills | 45c | 22,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,099.96 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jaguars | 51c | 21,602$10,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,910.58 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Jaguars | 56c | 21,268$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Jaguars | 52c | 21,258$11,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,157.11 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Jaguars | 51c | 20,837$10,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,614.19 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe796…7f5ebacked Bills | 36c | 20,000$7,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,839.99 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bills | 47c | 20,000$9,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,649.96 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Bills | 43c | 19,846$8,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,241.27 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jaguars | 51c | 18,978$9,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,759.82 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Bills | 51c | 18,250$9,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,978.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…c116backed Bills | 47c | 18,000$8,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,540 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Bills | 50c | 18,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…2a05backed Jaguars | 54c | 18,000$9,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bills | 58c | 17,879$10,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,465.61 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Jaguars | 53c | 17,250$9,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,192.43 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Jaguars | 52c | 17,190$9,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,002.7 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…4237backed Jaguars | 55c | 16,362$8,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jaguars | 53c | 16,002$8,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,435.68 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Jaguars | 53c | 15,624$8,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,280.55 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Jaguars | 55c | 15,209$8,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,365 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Bills | 45c | 15,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bills | 49c | 15,000$7,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,574.98 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Jaguars | 55c | 14,866$8,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,107.14 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Jaguars | 53c | 14,124$7,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,485.63 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Bills | 51c | 14,000$7,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,860 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Jaguars | 53c | 14,000$7,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,420 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Bills | 46c | 14,000$6,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,559.98 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Jaguars | 52c | 13,405$6,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,970.74 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Jaguars | 44c | 13,353$5,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,925.96 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Jaguars | 40c | 12,598$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.18 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Jaguars | 54c | 12,500$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bills vs. Jaguarsthis page
- 1H Spread: Bills (-0.5)Bills won
- Bills vs. Jaguars: 1H MoneylineBills won
- Bills vs. Jaguars: 1H O/U 24.5Under won
- Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 47.5Over won
- Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 48.5Over won
- Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 50.5Over won
- Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 51.5Under won
- Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 54.5Under won
- Parker Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Bills (-1.5)Bills won
- Spread: Bills (-2.5)Bills won
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Bills (-4.5)Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.