NFL · resolved market

Spread: Bills (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7a43c69855173791faf80562747526cbfadbd747b561dcf4f7434817c34feaf

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Jaguarsof Bills, Jaguars
Resolved: Jan 11, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,357,517
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,017,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,357,517 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Jaguars	66c	657,850$434,139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223,711.75	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-5.3wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bills	34c	601,228$204,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204,380.49	120	55.8%67 W · 53 L	+9.0wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+15%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Bills	34c	50,000$17,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,000	93	59.1%55 W · 38 L	+10.2wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Bills	35c	6,080$2,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,123.87	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-5.8wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Jaguars	67c	4,288$2,873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,415.06	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jaguars	65c	3,700$2,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,296.48	770	52.7%406 W · 364 L	+24.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Bills	20c	2,084$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.86	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bills	19c	1,996$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.3	502	42.4%213 W · 289 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Bills	40c	1,933$769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.46	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bills	35c	1,682$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.7	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Bills	34c	1,500$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jaguars	60c	1,423$857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.22	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Bills	12c	1,246$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.82	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Bills	11c	1,219$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.09	88	28.4%25 W · 63 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Jaguars	65c	1,010$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.93	148	37.2%55 W · 93 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Bills	34c	1,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Bills	34c	1,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-3.3wins	-0.15per pick	47cpaid	-35%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Jaguars	64c	906.57$583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.39	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-7.7wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Bills	34c	811.83$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.02	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jaguars	65c	772.95$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.53	266	49.6%132 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Jaguars	66c	757.48$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.54	140	35%49 W · 91 L	-12.0wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bills	35c	738$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.3	191	52.9%101 W · 90 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d0…6078backed Bills	35c	700$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f9…9fafbacked Bills	17c	664.13$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Jaguars	66c	603.23$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.23	70	52.9%37 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked Bills	35c	505.94$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.08	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ea7…657ebacked Bills	44c	500$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	55cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb44…3eafbacked Bills	37c	499.95$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.98	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-4.2wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Bills	34c	468.7$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.36	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Bills	8c	447.24$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bills	32c	441.18$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.18	394	47.7%188 W · 206 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe533…8d18backed Bills	7c	428.94$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	+3.6wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	-1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed Jaguars	66c	396.97$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.97	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Bills	25c	306$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.36	120	31.7%38 W · 82 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee21…3721backed Jaguars	66c	304.43$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.43	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-3.2wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9906…d743backed Bills	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bills	34c	295$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.3	473	48.4%229 W · 244 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad47…6af9backed Bills	36c	278.64$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bills	27c	277.62$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.21	600	49.3%296 W · 304 L	+21.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Bills	34c	274.55$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.68	650	48.3%314 W · 336 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf746…320fbacked Bills	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jaguars	65c	243.17$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.48	532	53%282 W · 250 L	+19.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Jaguars	78c	237.57$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.71	320	43.8%140 W · 180 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Jaguars	66c	230$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.36	182	45.6%83 W · 99 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c44…6ecebacked Bills	22c	221.27$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Bills	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	191	24.6%47 W · 144 L	-11.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa614…7d4cbacked Bills	6c	181.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Jaguars	57c	163.27$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.21	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Bills	35c	157.55$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.94	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Bills	25c	155.4$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.75	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Jaguars	66c	155$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.7	553	45%249 W · 304 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Bills	34c	146.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.7	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Bills	10c	131.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.19	144	4.9%7 W · 137 L	-10.8wins	-0.07per pick	12cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9038…f74cbacked Jaguars	67c	119.4$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.4	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a25…c24dbacked Bills	35c	114.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Bills	34c	110$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.4	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0df1…54ccbacked Bills	24c	108.97$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.61	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.22per pick	33cpaid	-78%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jaguars	71c	107$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.42	647	47.3%306 W · 341 L	+42.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Jaguars	66c	107$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.38	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf46…a799backed Jaguars	65c	102.54$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.07	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Jaguars	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Bills	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+31%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jaguars	66c	96.14$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.93	363	41.9%152 W · 211 L	-13.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Jaguars	57c	87.22$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.93	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-4.3wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Bills	34c	86.03$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.3	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+4.4wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Bills	35c	85.41$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.84	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bills	34c	85$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.9	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jaguars	68c	80.29$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.85	342	47.4%162 W · 180 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed1…efcbbacked Bills	41c	79.07$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.42	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f60…f897backed Bills	35c	68.57$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+54.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b1d…8d32backed Bills	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bills	33c	66.4$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.91	758	52.5%398 W · 360 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f55…bae8backed Bills	38c	65.01$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	160	48.1%77 W · 83 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Bills	32c	57.93$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.37	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-5.1wins	-0.21per pick	38cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Bills	34c	57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.59	245	47.8%117 W · 128 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Bills	25c	54.8$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+8.2wins	+0.24per pick	44cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jaguars	65c	52.72$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.26	163	49.7%81 W · 82 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Jaguars	71c	50.75$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.88	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-20%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Bills	36c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	169	40.8%69 W · 100 L	-7.9wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Jaguars	53c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	65	40%26 W · 39 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Jaguars	67c	49.52$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.57	120	50.8%61 W · 59 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9f…4b15backed Bills	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	50%6 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2df6…ea45backed Bills	30c	45.67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Bills	25c	43.59$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.06	148	44.6%66 W · 82 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bills	33c	42.57$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.05	568	52.3%297 W · 271 L	+26.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Bills	34c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-4.8wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jaguars	66c	40$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.6	169	55%93 W · 76 L	+15.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x125e…583fbacked Bills	27c	39$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.7wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Bills	36c	34.7$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.61	134	49.3%66 W · 68 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bills	35c	30.77$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.77	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.8wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ecb…87ddbacked Jaguars	65c	30.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	114	59.6%68 W · 46 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d0b…0874backed Jaguars	66c	30.11$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.11	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fc…0ab0backed Jaguars	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1974…bc18backed Jaguars	77c	25.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.88	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.29per pick	33cpaid	+99%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5f2…7c7dbacked Jaguars	66c	22.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.61	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jaguars	59c	22$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.02	488	47.5%232 W · 256 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Jaguars	63c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	61cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Jaguars	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	127	56.7%72 W · 55 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a72…fc7abacked Jaguars	63c	16.19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.99	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe014…996ebacked Jaguars	67c	15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.95	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Bills (-3.5)this page
1H Spread: Bills (-0.5)Bills won
Bills vs. JaguarsBills won
Bills vs. Jaguars: 1H MoneylineBills won
Bills vs. Jaguars: 1H O/U 24.5Under won
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 47.5Over won
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 48.5Over won
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 50.5Over won
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 51.5Under won
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 54.5Under won
Parker Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 46.5Over won
Spread: Bills (-1.5)Bills won
Spread: Bills (-2.5)Bills won
Spread: Bills (-4.5)Jaguars won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Bills (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event