NFL · resolved market
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc365c2f93c7f417425030f4638044620af1f9f1ed7feb849a8fb91217656ac8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Bills, Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $782,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $880,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $782,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Jaguars | 59c | 557,513$328,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328,902.36 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bills | 42c | 353,413$148,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204,921.06 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Bills | 41c | 150,000$61,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,500 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Bills | 40c | 95,000$37,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,049.99 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Jaguars | 48c | 35,180$16,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,914.96 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jaguars | 64c | 13,228$8,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,448.05 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bills | 42c | 6,817$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,953.86 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bills | 41c | 6,676$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,938.84 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…681ebacked Jaguars | 59c | 6,513$3,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,848.63 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bills | 41c | 5,682$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,353.73 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Jaguars | 64c | 4,650$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.81 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bills | 44c | 4,301$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.96 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Jaguars | 65c | 3,252$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Bills | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jaguars | 58c | 2,867$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.28 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Jaguars | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Jaguars | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.98 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Jaguars | 54c | 2,420$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Bills | 51c | 2,318$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.98 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bills | 43c | 1,759$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.46 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Jaguars | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Jaguars | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jaguars | 52c | 1,662$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.02 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Bills | 43c | 1,305$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.03 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b24…2d97backed Bills | 47c | 1,275$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bills | 53c | 1,199$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.21 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Jaguars | 59c | 1,102$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bills | 40c | 1,089$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.4 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jaguars | 50c | 1,060$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.7 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Jaguars | 59c | 1,015$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bills | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.59 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Bills | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jaguars | 58c | 989.76$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.06 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Bills | 54c | 950.57$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.5 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bills | 41c | 891$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.69 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Bills | 45c | 827$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.31 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…5084backed Jaguars | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741d…b4edbacked Jaguars | 59c | 696.1$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Jaguars | 58c | 600.02$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.83 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Bills | 40c | 570.44$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.26 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jaguars | 53c | 566.16$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.21 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Jaguars | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d52…47c5backed Jaguars | 60c | 478.5$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Jaguars | 58c | 366$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.28 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Bills | 37c | 364.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.67 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Jaguars | 7c | 362.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 54 | 9.3%5 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Bills | 49c | 254.21$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.43 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Bills | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…0512backed Bills | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Bills | 43c | 223.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Bills | 45c | 218.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Jaguars | 51c | 211.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bills | 34c | 210.89$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.03 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…657ebacked Bills | 56c | 203.21$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bills | 44c | 200.1$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Jaguars | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Bills | 42c | 194$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Jaguars | 51c | 186.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Bills | 49c | 177.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Jaguars | 56c | 175.73$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Jaguars | 58c | 175$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bills | 46c | 172.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Jaguars | 64c | 169.66$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Jaguars | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f4…5e6bbacked Jaguars | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Jaguars | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Bills | 45c | 169.46$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…9289backed Jaguars | 57c | 165.78$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Jaguars | 54c | 104.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Jaguars | 64c | 102.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…2f3dbacked Jaguars | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a7…a42bbacked Bills | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Jaguars | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Bills | 46c | 95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…314ebacked Bills | 43c | 92.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Jaguars | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Bills | 50c | 88.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked Bills | 45c | 88.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bills | 43c | 85.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bills | 48c | 80.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…f50fbacked Jaguars | 46c | 76.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Jaguars | 54c | 76.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bills | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Bills | 46c | 71.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Jaguars | 58c | 69.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28a…fc48backed Jaguars | 55c | 69.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Bills | 50c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…8df0backed Bills | 48c | 66.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Jaguars | 63c | 61.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Bills | 45c | 59.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ae…ce36backed Bills | 45c | 57.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…1dbebacked Bills | 43c | 57.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4792…c6e1backed Jaguars | 57c | 56.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Bills | 48c | 55.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Bills | 37c | 53.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Jaguars | 59c | 52.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 65 | 70.8%46 W · 19 L | +11.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc7…b89bbacked Jaguars | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…0faabacked Bills | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Jaguars | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Bills | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bills (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bills (-0.5)Bills won
- Bills vs. JaguarsBills won
- Bills vs. Jaguars: 1H MoneylineBills won
- Bills vs. Jaguars: 1H O/U 24.5Under won
- Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 47.5Over won
- Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 48.5Over won
- Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 50.5Over won
- Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 51.5Under won
- Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 54.5Under won
- Parker Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Bills (-1.5)Bills won
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)Jaguars won
- Spread: Bills (-4.5)Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.