TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fc7…b89b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: College Football, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$40.38
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$41.11
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+85.2%+$40.04
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+63.9%+$41.56
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+61.3%+$39.23
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+69.5%+$24.32
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$103.36
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+63.9%+$40.36
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.16
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$16.35
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$77.45
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+72.4%+$32.56
Jazz vs. Hornetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$69.06
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$38.49
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$52.68
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+84.8%+$101.73
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$165
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$77.77
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$125.38
BYU vs. Cincinnatibacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$47.79
USC vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+26.6%+$37.28
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.96
TCU vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$41.27
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$26.35
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$81.57
Arizona vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$123.27
Oregon vs. Iowabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$21.15
Oklahoma vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$75
UCF vs. Baylorbacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
UTEP vs. Kennesaw Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$26.31
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bills (-2.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Bills (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41.69
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$47.3
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.94
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$23.89
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+31.6%+$16.27
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$104.84
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$10.26
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$112.94
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$113.07
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37.4%+$46.54
Falcons vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$35.68
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
Spread: Texas Longhorns (-1.5)backed North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-1.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+98%+$12.83
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.28
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. San Francisco Donsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.66
Arizona Wildcats vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.38
St. John's Red Storm vs. Auburn Tigersbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Colorado State Rams vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$14.57
Bucknell Bison vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$10.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$9.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.