NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ef565f97daea4505a40cac533999d65960670e5e7ec7323fb931ae3caa86a71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof 76ers, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd19f…202bbacked Celtics | 56c | 18,089$10,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,959.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 58c | 10,256$5,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,294.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked 76ers | 42c | 9,999$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.58 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa874…c46abacked 76ers | 44c | 9,953$4,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,379.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…2973backed 76ers | 44c | 9,117$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,011.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 44c | 3,505$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics | 57c | 3,351$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.26 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Celtics | 56c | 3,228$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.49 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed 76ers | 43c | 2,716$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.69 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 58c | 2,119$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Celtics | 56c | 1,725$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.16 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed 76ers | 42c | 1,300$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.59 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a48…9f3ebacked Celtics | 57c | 801.62$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3318…ea60backed 76ers | 43c | 801.62$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked 76ers | 44c | 600$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed 76ers | 42c | 499$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.58 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers | 42c | 499$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.58 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc4…541dbacked Celtics | 57c | 397$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…c7c4backed 76ers | 43c | 310$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked 76ers | 43c | 309.3$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics | 53c | 287.35$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…28cebacked 76ers | 42c | 260.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked 76ers | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed 76ers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed 76ers | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked 76ers | 37c | 174.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed 76ers | 37c | 172.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed 76ers | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…c2d9backed 76ers | 41c | 111$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc7…b89bbacked Celtics | 61c | 103.48$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed 76ers | 39c | 87.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…e89ebacked 76ers | 44c | 84.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…af8cbacked 76ers | 43c | 72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked 76ers | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…368cbacked Celtics | 60c | 49.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90b2…1976backed 76ers | 40c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…e409backed Celtics | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd5…aa6fbacked 76ers | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed 76ers | 44c | 46.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked 76ers | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed 76ers | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked 76ers | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked 76ers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed 76ers | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Celtics | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e898backed 76ers | 57c | 32.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Celtics | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked 76ers | 43c | 32.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Celtics | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 76ers | 44c | 29.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…2480backed Celtics | 63c | 26.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…a8e9backed Celtics | 58c | 18.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Celtics | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…74b0backed Celtics | 62c | 17.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)this page
- Celtics vs. 76ers76ers won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.