NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e93fa97f0aa0752bbf4102b402c2b746881f99b3253fa4682c87343a3219aea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof 76ers, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics | 53c | 15,552$8,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,309.36 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked 76ers | 46c | 7,777$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577.42 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Celtics | 54c | 6,398$3,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.08 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed 76ers | 47c | 6,095$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.56 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 47c | 4,206$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.87 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed 76ers | 48c | 4,192$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.16 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 52c | 3,391$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed 76ers | 41c | 2,043$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.6 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked 76ers | 47c | 2,009$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.23 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 46c | 1,298$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 76ers | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.76 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked 76ers | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c19…3ec0backed 76ers | 48c | 580$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…e5d7backed Celtics | 52c | 580$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Celtics | 59c | 552.92$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.7 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 53c | 420$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Celtics | 53c | 420$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Celtics | 53c | 395$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.65 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Celtics | 60c | 333.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed 76ers | 47c | 234.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed 76ers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Celtics | 52c | 171$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed 76ers | 42c | 121$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed 76ers | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…c2d9backed 76ers | 43c | 102$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Celtics | 58c | 88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed 76ers | 43c | 88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed 76ers | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers | 47c | 38.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Celtics | 61c | 35.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed 76ers | 49c | 28.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)this page
- Celtics vs. 76ers76ers won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.