NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x765bd0fd9f1ddfa6caf19cf16b733d256479d556159df049ae114197d3a4f1a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 53c | 4,444$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.95 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 3,452$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 47c | 2,440$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.2 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 47c | 2,374$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.26 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9912…4f03backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 55c | 185$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdc…1669backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2b…b6c5backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…d05dbacked Over | 56c | 81.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc89…4ca1backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ac…13d8backed Over | 56c | 53.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…1871backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…aec0backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…8f51backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…8e45backed Over | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b9…c9c8backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0b…1466backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ef…a7a4backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5this page
- Celtics vs. 76ers76ers won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.