TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb9ff…5e00

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
397
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: College Football, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 56 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT6259.7%37 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.4
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$547.52
Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+60.7%+$242.63
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+30.9%+$43.33
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Clippers vs. Mavericks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$53.21
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+36.4%+$14.56
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+32.6%+$13.06
Hornets vs. Bucks: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+52.8%+$63.3
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+44.9%+$17.97
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST4652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$176.63
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.4%+$814.35
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.97
Bills vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Browns vs. Bears: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$360
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
LAR vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+431.2%+$517.43
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+236.4%+$70.93
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18.95
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$21.54
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+177.8%+$35.56
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+71%+$28.42
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT4233.3%14 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.85
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or higher on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+166.7%+$125
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.46
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$32.94
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST3815.8%6 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$128
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+525%+$420
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+316.7%+$126.67
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.7
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12.81
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+900%+$90
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+526%+$360.8
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$57.61
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$61.68
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Miami (OH) vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
TCU vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Utah State vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$17.97
Utah vs. Baylorbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.95
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$340
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$210.84
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Ohio vs. Western Michiganbacked Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Texas A&M vs. Missouribacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
LSU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$15.95
Wake Forest vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Auburn vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Kansas vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+51.5%+$20.61
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
SMU Mustangs vs. Boston Collegebacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Georgia vs. Mississippi Statebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+29.5%+$29.5
Houston vs. UCFbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Army vs. Air Forcebacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Vanderbilt vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
North Carolina vs. Syracusebacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
Florida International vs. Missouri Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Spread: James Madison (-7.5)backed Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$71.28
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Nicolas Jarry vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Nicolas Jarry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$94.31
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Colton Smith vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+107.8%+$67.03
Thionville: Roman Safiullin vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$58.74
Hersonissos: Alex Rybakov vs Jacopo Berrettinibacked Alex Rybakov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$103.99
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,102.58
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+566.7%+$113.33
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Sheltonbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$112.5
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+75.1%+$1,427.09
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$134.51
Open de Moselle: Hugo Gaston vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+29.9%+$47.79
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keysbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$36.51
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Open de Moselle, Qualification: Tristan Schoolkate vs Dan Addedbacked Added · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-68.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$878.9
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$104.99
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+83.2%+$16.64
Grokipedia released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.56
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$56.27
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Ducks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+108.3%+$43.33
Capitals vs. Islandersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Avalanche vs. Sharksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Predators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Devils vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Blues vs. Penguinsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-56%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.3%+$43.37
Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+44.9%+$17.97
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-66.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$144
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+159%+$143.1
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+140%+$336.04
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+86.1%+$86.08
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+89.2%+$89.25
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+124.4%+$155.47
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,398Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,397.77
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Fulham vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$533.33
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
Spread: Aston Villa (-1.5)backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+49.9%+$49.91
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$112.5
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$22.52
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+115.7%+$46.29
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+41.7%+$83.33
All 8 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-84.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$21.33
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$533.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$98
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.