Tennis · resolved market
Open de Moselle, Qualification: Tristan Schoolkate vs Dan Added
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x775ebf3e53b44b11e701b8e448595ca3d4d934a6061b93a2196eb7ddaf1d637e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Addedof Schoolkate, Added
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Added | 54c | 2,183$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.08 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Schoolkate | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Added | 50c | 1,875$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.53 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Schoolkate | 1c | 1,003$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…5577backed Added | 11c | 963.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.33per pick | 30cpaid | +137%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39a0…77d8backed Added | 31c | 943.64$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Schoolkate | 51c | 726.26$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.52 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Schoolkate | 57c | 709.1$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.79 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Schoolkate | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Added | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Added | 49c | 475.84$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.48 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…a19fbacked Added | 72c | 354.93$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.72 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Schoolkate | 39c | 333.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Added | 13c | 300$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…8145backed Schoolkate | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Added | 66c | 191.59$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Added | 64c | 183.61$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Added | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Schoolkate | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…e4e3backed Added | 59c | 146$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Schoolkate | 41c | 139$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Schoolkate | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d53…95e1backed Schoolkate | 62c | 122.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…12e2backed Schoolkate | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7915…f32fbacked Added | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Schoolkate | 43c | 60.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Schoolkate | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Added | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.