NFL · resolved market
49ers vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1cf3458c0fab5246dbe7fa4b90a660db64e44907193ab102b7a53c2d87864ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 49ersof 49ers, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,199,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,280,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,199,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Cardinals | 12c | 181,383$21,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,585.56 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked 49ers | 72c | 90,128$64,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,307.57 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed 49ers | 64c | 83,943$53,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,219.41 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed 49ers | 68c | 69,252$46,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,470.83 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed 49ers | 64c | 62,380$39,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,457.13 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Cardinals | 36c | 60,000$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,600 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…817ebacked Cardinals | 37c | 55,000$20,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,350 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed 49ers | 63c | 54,000$34,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,979.99 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Cardinals | 36c | 40,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed 49ers | 64c | 39,438$25,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,197.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Cardinals | 36c | 37,193$13,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,389.44 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…2493backed Cardinals | 37c | 30,586$11,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,316.91 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed 49ers | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,100 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Cardinals | 36c | 30,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.93 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed 49ers | 64c | 23,208$14,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,354.92 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed 49ers | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cardinals | 36c | 19,427$6,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,993.88 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Cardinals | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Cardinals | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed 49ers | 62c | 12,563$7,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,773.99 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Cardinals | 41c | 10,613$4,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.5 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cardinals | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cardinals | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed 49ers | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…6a63backed Cardinals | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed 49ers | 79c | 9,704$7,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Cardinals | 23c | 9,600$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Cardinals | 37c | 9,378$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.78 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cardinals | 36c | 9,354$3,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,367.44 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked 49ers | 60c | 8,969$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,594.52 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Cardinals | 37c | 8,680$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.45 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…2470backed 49ers | 67c | 8,646$5,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed 49ers | 64c | 8,000$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Cardinals | 38c | 7,200$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.93 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Cardinals | 38c | 6,579$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08eb…aaa8backed 49ers | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked 49ers | 67c | 5,586$3,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.65 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Cardinals | 1c | 5,500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Cardinals | 35c | 5,487$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.92 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed 49ers | 64c | 5,469$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.75 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Cardinals | 0c | 5,450$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Cardinals | 0c | 5,192$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed 49ers | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cardinals | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Cardinals | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Cardinals | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Cardinals | 25c | 4,549$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.34 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d44…53fdbacked 49ers | 64c | 4,500$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2e…7f88backed Cardinals | 37c | 4,500$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Cardinals | 37c | 4,500$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.99 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed 49ers | 62c | 4,410$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.85 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c1…73d8backed Cardinals | 37c | 4,200$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…5325backed 49ers | 64c | 4,200$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e8…3613backed Cardinals | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…69d0backed 49ers | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Cardinals | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb1…37d4backed Cardinals | 36c | 3,671$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed 49ers | 64c | 3,420$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.2 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Cardinals | 17c | 3,333$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.61 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef47…5c40backed Cardinals | 8c | 3,318$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed 49ers | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cardinals | 13c | 3,122$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.62 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Cardinals | 1c | 3,120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked 49ers | 64c | 3,115$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.24 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed 49ers | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Cardinals | 37c | 2,960$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.2 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked 49ers | 65c | 2,923$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.08 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Cardinals | 35c | 2,750$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.5 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fb…b8e1backed 49ers | 64c | 2,620$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Cardinals | 36c | 2,598$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.29 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 37cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Cardinals | 30c | 2,556$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x429b…0688backed Cardinals | 37c | 2,448$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 38c | 2,416$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.76 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed 49ers | 64c | 2,385$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.45 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81ec…f8b2backed Cardinals | 36c | 2,380$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cardinals | 10c | 2,210$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.06 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed 49ers | 63c | 2,181$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.84 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cardinals | 1c | 2,150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 42c | 2,130$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.37 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed 49ers | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cardinals | 23c | 2,000$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.67 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked 49ers | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed 49ers | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked 49ers | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Cardinals | 39c | 2,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.99 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed 49ers | 57c | 1,988$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.59 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 2c | 1,806$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 142 | 15.5%22 W · 120 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Cardinals | 38c | 1,800$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.79 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f76…e8dcbacked 49ers | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,650$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.23 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed 49ers | 78c | 1,604$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.87 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…812fbacked 49ers | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cardinals | 1c | 1,555$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Cardinals | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…42e9backed 49ers | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Cardinals | 14c | 1,464$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cardinals | 36c | 1,453$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.14 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked 49ers | 59c | 1,322$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.03 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,302$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…d567backed Cardinals | 16c | 1,274$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 49ers vs. Cardinalsthis page
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-0.5)49ers won
- 49ers vs. Cardinals: 1H Moneyline49ers won
- 49ers vs. Cardinals: O/U 47.5Over won
- 49ers vs. Cardinals: O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: 49ers (-2.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-3.5)49ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.