TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5eb7…05f6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
193
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10144.6%45 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$78.28
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20,180.65
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16,161Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+25%+$4,040.18
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,568Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$7,568.17
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+51.5%+$2,575.76
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$8,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$8,320.01
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$3,333.34
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12,241.3
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,029.14
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,031Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+147.8%+$4,480.35
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11,500
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$2,179.94
Bears vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$8,783.73
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$663.68
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$150
49ers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13,464Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13,463.94
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+364%+$793.4
Will the Baltimore Ravens, Detroit Lions, and Kansas City Chiefs all win on Thanksgiving?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,072Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+31.6%+$338.76
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+188.8%+$1,307.5
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+395%+$798
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,006Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+87.2%+$3,494.36
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10,560Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+68.2%+$7,204.89
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT4623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,266.64
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,640
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,860
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$305
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$1,044.99
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+117.4%+$190.72
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Wizards vs. Raptorsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+733.3%+$220
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Wizards vs. Timberwolvesbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$754.7
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$3,000
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,028Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+72.9%+$2,206.54
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$92.37
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,529Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,528.98
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST4141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$4,999.98
Army vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+106.2%+$445.88
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$8,616Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$8,616.2
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LSU vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26,305Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+41%+$10,780.49
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18,045Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5,390.06
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,780Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+180.9%+$3,219.99
Arizona State vs. Coloradobacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$217.5
Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Techbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,930Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+52.1%+$2,570
Kansas vs. Iowa Statebacked Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Florida State vs. NC Statebacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$345
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$764.06
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$951Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+162.7%+$1,548.53
Washington vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$5,488.05
Kansas vs. Arizonabacked Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$626.92
Colorado vs. West Virginiabacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$507.5
Georgia vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$115
Oklahoma vs. Tennesseebacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,421Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+161.2%+$2,289.39
Colorado vs. Utahbacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$166.84
Texas vs. Mississippi Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$820
Alabama vs. South Carolinabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$140
Illinois vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,836Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+71.9%+$1,319.74
Ole Miss vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+400%+$200
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$479.98
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. Bradley Bravesbacked Bradley Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+25%+$22.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Belinda Bencic vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$312.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.