College Football · resolved market
Arizona State vs. Colorado
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x106beb65198faec170f6de234abf2cf0f9a823b560d1e4ecd2cf99f8b887f5e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Stateof Arizona State, Colorado
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona State | 71c | 40,000$28,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed Colorado | 4c | 35,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Arizona State | 73c | 34,383$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,383.04 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Colorado | 29c | 25,396$7,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,364.77 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colorado | 26c | 21,178$5,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,491.44 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Colorado | 27c | 12,726$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Colorado | 29c | 12,446$3,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,564.96 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colorado | 28c | 10,683$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Colorado | 29c | 10,345$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona State | 78c | 7,951$6,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.03 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona State | 70c | 7,876$5,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.12 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Arizona State | 77c | 7,187$5,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.35 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado | 30c | 6,039$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.37 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona State | 73c | 5,794$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.61 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Colorado | 24c | 4,363$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.96 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Arizona State | 77c | 4,082$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.14 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arizona State | 71c | 3,836$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.45 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Colorado | 35c | 3,309$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.54 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Colorado | 26c | 2,972$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.64 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Colorado | 29c | 2,553$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.49 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colorado | 33c | 2,526$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.7 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona State | 70c | 2,206$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.86 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Colorado | 24c | 1,880$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.5 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Colorado | 29c | 1,800$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.97 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Arizona State | 71c | 1,609$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.61 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…0123backed Arizona State | 75c | 1,500$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.29 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Colorado | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Colorado | 29c | 1,428$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.13 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Arizona State | 71c | 1,306$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.93 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Colorado | 28c | 1,028$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.15 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Colorado | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Colorado | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Colorado | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…db09backed Colorado | 29c | 999.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Colorado | 31c | 838.71$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Arizona State | 71c | 768.14$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.76 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Colorado | 29c | 750$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Colorado | 27c | 730.89$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.73 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked Arizona State | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Colorado | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c8…f2efbacked Arizona State | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Colorado | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona State | 71c | 489.87$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.93 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…b798backed Arizona State | 71c | 481.78$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Arizona State | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Colorado | 25c | 366.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Colorado | 29c | 350.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Colorado | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…9c9fbacked Colorado | 31c | 288.13$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Arizona State | 70c | 270.92$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Colorado | 23c | 244.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Colorado | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Colorado | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Arizona State | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Colorado | 13c | 199.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Colorado | 28c | 186$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…e6fdbacked Colorado | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf605…0e9dbacked Arizona State | 79c | 178.54$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Colorado | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Arizona State | 71c | 168.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Colorado | 30c | 162.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed Colorado | 27c | 160$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Colorado | 28c | 154$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Colorado | 29c | 154$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Arizona State | 61c | 147.19$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…bf3bbacked Arizona State | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Arizona State | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 26 | 92.3%24 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 73cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Arizona State | 79c | 126.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Colorado | 29c | 119$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d23…b55bbacked Arizona State | 75c | 111.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Arizona State | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Colorado | 28c | 103.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Arizona State | 71c | 100.84$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Arizona State | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Colorado | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Colorado | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Colorado | 21c | 94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6212…4eb3backed Arizona State | 73c | 93.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0543…a6a5backed Arizona State | 73c | 92.45$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada3…0120backed Colorado | 27c | 89.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…d8d8backed Arizona State | 74c | 88.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a6…552fbacked Colorado | 25c | 86.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Colorado | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Arizona State | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Arizona State | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Arizona State | 67c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…10acbacked Colorado | 17c | 71.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked Arizona State | 53c | 69.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…1e06backed Colorado | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd457…0823backed Arizona State | 73c | 66.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Arizona State | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Colorado | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf071…cbcbbacked Colorado | 24c | 60.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…3a1abacked Colorado | 36c | 57.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…d977backed Colorado | 31c | 57.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Arizona State | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…b602backed Colorado | 37c | 54.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Arizona State | 73c | 54.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Colorado | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Colorado | 27c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona State vs. Coloradothis page
- Arizona State vs. Colorado: O/U 47.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona State (-7.5)Arizona State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.