TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab9f…570c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
295
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT13240.2%53 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 132 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.84
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.64
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.97
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.47
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$88.99
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.36
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.8
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+94%+$107.49
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.05
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.5
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.71
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$114.69
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$58.98
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$108.03
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$42.3
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Spread: Celtics (-18.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+82.1%+$61.56
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Showing 25 of 132 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$176.67
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$45.6
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+42.9%+$60
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+225.8%+$82.59
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+70.2%+$165
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$49.66
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$37.49
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+525%+$134.4
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$162
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.15
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$61.82
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+69%+$95.2
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Spread: Packers (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+61.3%+$122.58
Will Puka Nacua be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+65.3%+$77.14
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$98.03
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+54.7%+$117.57
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.71
Will Bo Nickal win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$35.46
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.68
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.59
UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Vera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.25
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Geoff Neal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$273.4
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$90
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Amir Albazi (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Albazi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+295%+$99.56
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$104
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+142.4%+$235
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Namajunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$72.99
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$45.2
UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Bukauskas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
UFC 324: Fugitt vs. Miller (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Fugitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$80
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page backed Cannonier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
All 24 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+73.3%+$153.93
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$49.09
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+82.3%+$118.5
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19.39
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
UCF vs. BYUbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Arizona State vs. Coloradobacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+88.7%+$32.81
BYU vs. Cincinnatibacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+59.1%+$118.18
Iowa vs. USCbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Michigan vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
BYU vs. Arizonabacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+106.8%+$118.57
Georgia vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Michigan vs. USCbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Indiana vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Oklahoma vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+52.2%+$37.79
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$108.37
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.28
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$145.76
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$55.38
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.18
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-4.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.61
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.11
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.18
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-5.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.72
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.28
Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-1.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$105.86
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.23
Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$114.7
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.05
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$65.15
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$42.3
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+113.9%+$106.5
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.04
Capitals vs. Flamesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108.5%+$176.17
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$52.8
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+203%+$68.97
Islanders vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$177.04
Oilers vs. Predatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$155.5
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$136
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Islanders vs. Avalanchebacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+96.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $450–475 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$147.15
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $425–450 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+293%+$109.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.2%+$41.24
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.