TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Eagles (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
49ersof Eagles, 49ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,036

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,265 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Eagles39c28,870$11,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,16056852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 49ers63c21,400$13,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,873.0750242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 49ers62c15,914$9,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,075.6253348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eagles38c15,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.9783147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked 49ers72c11,091$7,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.9831543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Eagles37c6,430$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.8673651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 49ers59c6,034$3,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,470.2712055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 49ers55c5,093$2,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,284.1760049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Eagles40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc14d…cbdbbacked 49ers62c4,032$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.261428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-51.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Eagles44c3,803$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.8712748%61 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Eagles39c2,703$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.323036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Eagles39c2,678$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.8539447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Eagles40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed 49ers61c2,276$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.4526650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed 49ers62c2,005$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.9764747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Eagles39c2,000$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.0565048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Eagles39c1,960$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.621,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Eagles37c1,893$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.6213756.2%77 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Eagles39c1,882$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.221,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Eagles41c1,680$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6889442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cbe…1c79backed 49ers62c1,542$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.811154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Eagles37c1,491$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.7519651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1222…2aa7backed 49ers60c1,392$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.82955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked 49ers59c1,326$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.672365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed 49ers59c1,310$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.6515944%70 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed 49ers63c1,264$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.333655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Eagles47c1,248$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.1175852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Eagles40c1,248$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.776934.8%24 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Eagles41c1,048$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.797440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Eagles38c1,039$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdb…6f6bbacked 49ers62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+52.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f9…2aa8backed 49ers61c932.79$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.7929059.7%173 W · 117 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed 49ers59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.467661.8%47 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Eagles39c714.57$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.6853253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Eagles40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28027633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf6d7…6424backed 49ers62c666.79$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.38650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed 49ers61c601$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.3926649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked 49ers62c529$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.271747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed 49ers60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007052.9%37 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed 49ers66c483$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6329439.5%116 W · 178 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa5…3d34backed 49ers64c418.75$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.751250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed 49ers61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1567549.3%37 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Eagles38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15218745.5%85 W · 102 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed 49ers61c400$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.23658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Eagles39c373.26$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.573441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14e…f856backed 49ers62c323.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.556959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed 49ers70c285.28$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.591471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe533…8d18backed 49ers61c262.73$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.314245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88cf…469fbacked 49ers60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed 49ers73c243.14$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0320757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe890…0d90backed 49ers62c242.07$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.071050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…570cbacked 49ers59c233.2$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.25950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Eagles41c207$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1936341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Eagles7c200.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7919124.6%47 W · 144 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Eagles48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9634652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed 49ers62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7618245.6%83 W · 99 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed 49ers59c199.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8227835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed 49ers54c183.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.644153.7%22 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Eagles37c182.58$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.934639.1%18 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd05a…bf53backed 49ers63c166$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.651844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a52…9ad6backed 49ers62c161.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.795558.2%32 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed 49ers62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.293056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad01…6f40backed 49ers64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf3a…47debacked 49ers62c151.92$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.21933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed 49ers61c142$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3847348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d2…4abfbacked Eagles39c128.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.08944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…298cbacked Eagles41c120.39$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.361936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Eagles30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020542%86 W · 119 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4a4…3c66backed 49ers62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389856.1%55 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked 49ers59c85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8519954.8%109 W · 90 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300e…dfb3backed Eagles41c85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7671…7244backed 49ers60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333562.9%22 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…1dbebacked 49ers60c82.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336050%30 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked 49ers60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a67…0355backed 49ers64c77.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.02757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4651…8da8backed Eagles39c75.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Eagles39c72.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8832043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x125e…583fbacked 49ers61c70.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d8…ebe1backed Eagles28c70.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202524%6 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-49.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked 49ers67c68.67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.654768.1%32 W · 15 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+42.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xcaa2…6b1abacked 49ers61c68.16$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+64%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked 49ers65c66$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.411747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x844d…3059backed 49ers61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.573562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Eagles38c65.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.762634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Eagles41c64.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1114844.6%66 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed 49ers61c59.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.413751.8%71 W · 66 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed 49ers72c53.19$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.143246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Eagles38c52.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.12416.7%4 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-58.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Eagles44c51.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.635957.6%34 W · 25 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed 49ers67c50.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.831877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+27.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7227…5285backed 49ers60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe223…f02bbacked 49ers61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7a…0f0ebacked 49ers60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2012050.8%61 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6470…aac7backed 49ers60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203844.7%17 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked 49ers62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.393151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 49ers60c45.27$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0316349.7%81 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e4…e026backed Eagles46c45.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.830%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x640f…4cc0backed Eagles35c44.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.751233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed 49ers60c44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5410858.3%63 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.