TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Eagles (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
49ersof Eagles, 49ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$369,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$420,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,994 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed 49ers44c190,458$83,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,108.093348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Eagles56c100,000$56,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,0004955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Eagles57c60,000$34,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,199.995154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 49ers45c45,761$20,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,035.9853348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Eagles56c26,786$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00018650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Eagles55c22,051$12,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,024.7175852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Eagles55c16,112$8,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,861.656852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed 49ers43c11,000$4,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,27013654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Eagles56c7,597$4,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,282.781,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Eagles56c7,339$4,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,128.0154451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Eagles56c7,200$3,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,997.1920661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 49ers60c5,805$3,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.2660049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed 49ers44c5,516$2,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,081.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 49ers43c5,102$2,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,908.1477052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Eagles58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Eagles56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80019645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 49ers50c4,307$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,173.712055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Eagles47c3,768$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.9612748%61 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked 49ers43c3,540$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.81450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Eagles56c2,957$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.8253253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed 49ers42c2,943$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.1216545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8104…ce10backed Eagles56c2,678$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.682634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Eagles54c2,659$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.863036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed 49ers45c2,655$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.253033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Eagles57c2,622$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed 49ers44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40026649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Eagles51c2,451$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.5650242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked 49ers52c2,403$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.632045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec0…f7aabacked Eagles59c2,109$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.454257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked 49ers46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9914438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed 49ers42c1,989$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.45536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Eagles49c1,960$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.562045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Eagles20c1,825$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.6431543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Eagles15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.957435.1%26 W · 48 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+57.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Eagles58c1,300$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7544341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Eagles54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54039447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed 49ers42c921.43$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.434148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Eagles2c849.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9919436.6%71 W · 123 L-14.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee21…3721backed Eagles56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4482941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Eagles14c786$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8764747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7011…c6dabacked Eagles55c711$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.051833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Eagles58c610$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.847348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Eagles49c563.7$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.929853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked 49ers45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.566051.7%31 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Eagles52c540.32$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9725956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Eagles56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016648.2%80 W · 86 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Eagles55c502.09$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.356934.8%24 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed 49ers45c496.35$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.9986547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d4…a2c5backed Eagles64c462.7$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7415…fae8backed 49ers42c462.21$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.084647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Eagles57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed 49ers45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Eagles58c384.16$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9436341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Eagles55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Eagles56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Eagles37c350$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302524%6 W · 19 L-6.5wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-60.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Eagles59c339.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008540%34 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked 49ers44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16818745.5%85 W · 102 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Eagles36c291.26$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044639.1%18 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed 49ers41c271.85$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.3910353.4%55 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Eagles59c259.37$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7214344.1%63 W · 80 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed Eagles51c234.72$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204153.7%22 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0316…e283backed 49ers43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+77.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Eagles55c230$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.526857.1%153 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Eagles47c225.34$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5514844.6%66 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Eagles49c220.54$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6332043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c3…a2adbacked 49ers45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x683e…2bb2backed Eagles58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-71.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x125e…583fbacked 49ers53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.111729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Eagles56c194.28$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.511,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe665…79bbbacked Eagles56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005044%22 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb740…2422backed Eagles56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016243.8%71 W · 91 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3b9…9ce4backed Eagles56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008639.5%34 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed 49ers48c170.44$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaa2…6b1abacked Eagles59c169.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+64%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed 49ers56c163.92$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5729439.5%116 W · 178 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked Eagles58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873040%12 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked 49ers70c121$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.794768.1%32 W · 15 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+42.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Eagles58c119.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.711260.7%68 W · 44 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Eagles55c116.69$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7165048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2815…10fdbacked Eagles48c114$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df1…54ccbacked Eagles35c108.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.17911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-78%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bea…82fcbacked Eagles56c106.59$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf15…2f3dbacked Eagles56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf891…d3b6backed 49ers45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68d9…00edbacked Eagles55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556827.9%19 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+62.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc00f…0f52backed Eagles56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed Eagles30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014158.9%83 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Eagles53c96.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.084261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Eagles49c95.6$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.844944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Eagles56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.415352.3%80 W · 73 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf9d…3ea9backed Eagles56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026660.9%162 W · 104 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 49ers50c86.26$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1373651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf012…7354backed Eagles46c76.6$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Eagles54c72.3$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0422450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Eagles57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408561.2%52 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Eagles51c69.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.213860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Eagles32c68.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.082416.7%4 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-58.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Eagles45c68.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7834247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Eagles29c64.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.665040%20 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.