TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Eagles (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
49ersof Eagles, 49ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,169,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,511,692

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,169,959 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1496…a429backed Eagles45c535,144$242,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,065.1927454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 49ers55c293,334$161,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131,795.9653348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 49ers54c178,346$96,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,469.7612055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1222…2aa7backed 49ers54c100,123$54,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,056.8955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Eagles48c35,814$17,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,190.822025%5 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed 49ers52c35,762$18,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,158.1416545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Eagles44c33,450$14,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,717.9475852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Eagles46c28,025$12,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,858.4956852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed 49ers54c23,000$12,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,5801637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed 49ers55c21,337$11,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,602.0420755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed 49ers60c20,410$12,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,180.442433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58a0…2b5bbacked 49ers54c18,990$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,789.727034.3%24 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd289…079fbacked 49ers56c15,804$8,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,953.571747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Eagles45c13,851$6,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,232.7653253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f1a…6dc0backed Eagles48c12,000$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7607051.4%36 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked 49ers53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70024652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed 49ers53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Eagles47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7009442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Eagles47c9,411$4,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,423.0831240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Eagles45c8,023$3,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,582.0773651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked Eagles46c7,421$3,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,409.392955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed 49ers52c6,633$3,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,153.815044.7%67 W · 83 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Eagles48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Eagles49c6,200$3,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0385650%28 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Eagles48c5,335$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5612850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed 49ers53c5,094$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.3418140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eagles45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Eagles46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9935848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Eagles33c4,618$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.0316955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 49ers55c4,600$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.6950242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Eagles46c4,576$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.939447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked 49ers55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8002657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Eagles46c3,948$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.221,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Eagles48c3,642$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.2218156.9%103 W · 78 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed 49ers55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.363953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed 49ers54c3,557$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.0547348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Eagles44c3,131$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.293036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Eagles46c3,024$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.0417648.9%86 W · 90 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Eagles46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3807152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 49ers50c2,835$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.1112748%61 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed 49ers54c2,800$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2882454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Eagles46c2,588$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.3165048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Eagles45c2,546$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15010547.6%50 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Eagles48c2,488$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1943740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 49ers53c2,373$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.777052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Eagles45c2,234$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.4626649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed 49ers55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90013942.4%59 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed 49ers53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.8914035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bfa…bc94backed 49ers55c1,636$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.363622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed 49ers49c1,541$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.9164747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed 49ers52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+32.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Eagles44c1,116$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.2313756.2%77 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf08…9f3fbacked 49ers54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.118056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed 49ers56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44017251.7%89 W · 83 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked 49ers55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45011759.8%70 W · 47 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fdb…6f6bbacked 49ers55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+52.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed 49ers59c956.47$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.538145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked 49ers54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.931163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Eagles23c909.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.522524%6 W · 19 L-6.5wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-60.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed 49ers55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.097361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed 49ers55c900$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4056050%30 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked 49ers53c878.55$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.3519651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked 49ers68c750$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2407850%39 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed 49ers55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.274746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed 49ers56c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.2919361.7%119 W · 74 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Eagles45c700.02$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.011735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 49ers73c694.24$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3260049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Eagles36c672.49$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.641723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Eagles47c669.19$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.58164.2%52 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+137.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Eagles48c656.25$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3152941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Eagles48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Eagles48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28836246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked 49ers53c581.34$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.232638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Eagles46c536.52$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2469855.1%54 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b2e…7f7fbacked Eagles38c524.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8f8…79a8backed Eagles45c517.33$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.1510256.9%58 W · 44 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Eagles45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22510353.4%55 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked 49ers55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2255154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09a5…b5c3backed 49ers54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed 49ers52c449.97$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.4923647%111 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed 49ers55c443.64$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.648350.6%42 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffa2…135abacked 49ers56c432.21$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.21633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b80…657fbacked Eagles46c429$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4615746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Eagles47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed 49ers53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1883125.8%8 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-54.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed 49ers54c392.98$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0429439.5%116 W · 178 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed 49ers53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.366240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Eagles50c344$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1722948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Eagles46c335.72$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.43742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Eagles45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13518745.5%85 W · 102 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Eagles47c297.06$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409641.7%40 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd79c…a0e7backed 49ers54c295.05$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.058540%34 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Eagles46c293.48$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1354461.4%27 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed 49ers50c274$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.766934.8%24 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Eagles48c270.71$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9412850%64 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf492…29c2backed Eagles47c233.52$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6210252.9%54 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1841…c63dbacked 49ers53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.423743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked 49ers53c225.73$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.514844.6%66 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1977…32e8backed Eagles45c224.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2419948.2%96 W · 103 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b90…8cdcbacked Eagles45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.