TailMyPicks
Market

NFL · resolved market

49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,215 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Over46c149,767$68,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,488.312528%7 W · 18 L-6.3wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-46.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under54c72,629$39,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,409.1416955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under54c35,210$19,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,048.0156852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under54c15,533$8,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,146.0673651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under55c10,907$6,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,890.0113560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Over43c7,019$3,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,018.39754.6%53 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b66…a2f3backed Under74c4,755$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.051566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+38.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under57c4,310$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.91,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under57c3,688$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.7212055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over43c3,387$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.4147348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over43c2,575$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.1353348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90010156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c1,951$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72050242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under55c1,909$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.0513756.2%77 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under57c1,860$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.820661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under54c1,632$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.877052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over16c1,576$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7564747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over23c1,420$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.9431543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under69c1,247$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.0620757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Over4c1,197$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.887435.1%26 W · 48 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+57.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43065048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5099…7d87backed Over2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over33c918$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.926934.8%24 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under58c863.9$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.919651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36013959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under57c711.66$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.011,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under69c520.05$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6412748%61 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1969…a09cbacked Under58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020443.6%89 W · 115 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under57c465.1$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9919459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under57c450$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.56663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+30.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over42c442$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.6426649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under55c420$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18914060.7%85 W · 55 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under55c420$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18917656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under55c420$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18911758.1%68 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18020555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under57c389$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.2719240.1%77 W · 115 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under55c330$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.512057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under55c330$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.511859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Over34c321.22$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.645044%22 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over27c310.5$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.64639.1%18 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over65c305$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2519651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13516957.4%97 W · 72 L+15.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13510752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa511…18a3backed Under75c291.47$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.233852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over41c250$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.876238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.512356.9%70 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked Under58c242.74$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.953661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under64c230.99$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6714844.6%66 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under78c209.04$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9235648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x788d…99bbbacked Under72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9011265.2%73 W · 39 L+16.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Over14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2819124.6%47 W · 144 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f5e…3871backed Under58c194.29$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.61346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under51c192.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2132043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under55c190$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.510461.5%64 W · 40 L+12.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8110958.7%64 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8110161.4%62 W · 39 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8116360.1%98 W · 65 L+16.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.56752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.510155.4%56 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.56147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.56755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.510359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.59757.7%56 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.59659.4%57 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.511056.4%62 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.511856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over29c146.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4560049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5413357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5415453.9%83 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5412458.1%72 W · 52 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411463.2%72 W · 42 L+14.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5415556.8%88 W · 67 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5410864.8%70 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411552.2%60 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5410861.1%66 W · 42 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under55c119.27$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.658750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4510155.4%56 W · 45 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4218745.5%85 W · 102 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104914.3%7 W · 42 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6691…8a8ebacked Over32c85.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Under59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.754944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd2…e8e8backed Over39c81.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.761060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+79.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3610964.2%70 W · 39 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Under51c76.58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.343246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.510761.7%66 W · 41 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under59c66.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.466570.8%46 W · 19 L+11.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+35.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under54c63.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6734247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Under75c62$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.23655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2712459.7%74 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2711658.6%68 W · 48 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2710464.4%67 W · 37 L+15.3wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2710361.2%63 W · 40 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2710565.7%69 W · 36 L+16.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279162.6%57 W · 34 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279164.8%59 W · 32 L+12.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.