TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Eagles (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
49ersof Eagles, 49ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,070,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,174,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,070,181 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 418 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Eagles53c1,378,430$733,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733,025.172025%5 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 49ers47c748,375$349,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398,397.0812055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked 49ers47c600,000$285,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314,999.9430043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked 49ers46c480,555$218,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261,749.77554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Eagles54c277,773$149,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149,997.38747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked 49ers48c238,166$113,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124,870.485648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Eagles52c126,676$65,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,871.5219152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Eagles53c120,026$64,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,018.2827454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Eagles53c112,568$60,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,186.925154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed 49ers47c105,463$49,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,930.6519553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d91…5c46backed Eagles0c105,000$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed 49ers47c100,000$47,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,999.993348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed 49ers48c90,000$43,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,8003850%19 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Eagles54c76,140$41,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,113.9824957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x635c…45c6backed Eagles53c47,170$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00050%0 W · 5 L-3.1wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Eagles53c47,000$24,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,9102369.6%16 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+53.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Eagles54c44,444$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,999.7617454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed 49ers47c43,000$20,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,7901163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed 49ers46c40,000$18,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,60016051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Eagles52c28,846$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0005658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked 49ers46c28,643$13,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,467.275152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed 49ers47c26,000$12,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,779.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked Eagles53c24,206$12,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,827.212955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed 49ers48c24,000$11,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,479.9916545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Eagles52c22,038$11,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,470.169447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Eagles62c20,000$12,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,4002437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Eagles53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,60024056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed 49ers47c20,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,599.9916860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Eagles48c17,092$8,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,198.9273651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f1a…6dc0backed Eagles52c17,000$8,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,8407051.4%36 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Eagles53c16,192$8,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,537.731240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Eagles53c14,151$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50014252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9c…74b3backed 49ers47c13,367$6,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,076.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed 49ers48c10,911$5,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,700.1654451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Eagles51c10,384$5,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,291.7575852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked 49ers49c9,582$4,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,930.583850%19 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Eagles54c9,500$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.9925744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4124…8af2backed 49ers49c9,450$4,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,819.53943.6%17 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed 49ers48c9,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,68013654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Eagles53c7,864$4,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,190850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed 49ers47c7,777$3,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,121.812369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Eagles52c7,692$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+49.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked 49ers47c7,446$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,946.385149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Eagles53c7,424$3,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,923.477052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Eagles53c7,285$3,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,827.0519651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Eagles55c7,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8506759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Eagles52c6,995$3,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,627.1456852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Eagles52c6,636$3,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,423.364261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Eagles52c6,320$3,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,316.311,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed 49ers48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1205352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Eagles53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1802045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Eagles52c6,000$3,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,089.9517648.9%86 W · 90 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Eagles53c5,649$2,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,994.152751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Eagles54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed 49ers47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6504544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Eagles53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65019645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed 49ers47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.9912944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x223a…286fbacked 49ers46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.83966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+99.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed 49ers60c4,168$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6687557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed 49ers47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1203847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed 49ers48c3,690$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.832263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked 49ers56c3,514$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.222045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Eagles54c3,500$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed 49ers47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.493652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked 49ers46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62015252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Eagles51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5303036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b22…c59cbacked 49ers49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5304949%24 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Eagles54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6207152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Eagles52c2,784$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.4347348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Eagles54c2,770$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.87048.6%34 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Eagles53c2,666$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.472152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 49ers54c2,539$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.6860049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed 49ers48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30026649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Eagles51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.982532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ee…78cfbacked 49ers47c2,289$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.211154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+60.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Eagles53c2,264$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2006647%31 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Eagles53c2,200$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1664348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed 49ers46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.911145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Eagles52c2,115$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10011744.4%52 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked 49ers49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.829657.3%55 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Eagles50c2,016$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.4315044.7%67 W · 83 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed 49ers47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0607534.7%26 W · 49 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eagles51c1,921$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.4783147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Eagles53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Eagles53c1,882$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.467346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed 49ers47c1,840$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.86050%30 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Eagles49c1,831$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.172740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Eagles54c1,740$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.5820661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Eagles53c1,700$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked 49ers44c1,591$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.9613756.2%77 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed 49ers47c1,518$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.965048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Eagles52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78036246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Eagles55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8252454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Eagles52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7802740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Eagles47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fcb…08fbbacked Eagles52c1,442$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Eagles71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+73.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Eagles52c1,361$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.2639447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed 49ers49c1,238$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.4286547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8df…6df7backed 49ers49c1,158$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.781450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.