TailMyPicks
Market

NFL · resolved market

49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$289,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$290,453

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x777d…5143backed Over53c118,431$62,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,283.872441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over52c82,146$42,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,427.3330043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Under47c64,000$30,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,919.9317647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Under48c44,464$21,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,121.282030%6 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under47c35,870$16,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,010.974955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under49c30,000$14,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,30016860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under48c22,103$10,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,493.753348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8a…e842backed Over53c21,321$11,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,3001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c20,100$9,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,45275852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c10,476$5,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,447.5256852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20024056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20013560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c5,789$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,001.351,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over31c5,348$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.1260049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.398747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c3,481$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.6877052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Under48c3,105$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.62850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb973…ff16backed Over53c2,830$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under47c2,725$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.7265048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.9726649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under22c2,413$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under50c2,377$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.4819651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2917…be8fbacked Over78c2,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5603823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04010156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under54c1,309$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.3173651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over54c1,300$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69614151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c1,218$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.5750242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over53c1,206$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.913850%19 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5099…7d87backed Over2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Over52c961.49$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9814035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over53c947.5$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.181457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41613959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over52c792.73$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.2254451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd2…33b8backed Over47c678.96$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.58825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under74c674.29$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.420757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Over53c660.38$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508540%34 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Over52c537.03$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.222231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over53c450$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.57533.3%25 W · 50 L-8.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under48c450$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2346663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+30.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.414060.7%85 W · 55 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.417656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.411758.1%68 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20820555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8df…6df7backed Over52c382.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.041450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over53c335$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5547348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under48c330$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.612057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under48c330$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.611859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Over53c322.17$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.622352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15918745.5%85 W · 102 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15616957.4%97 W · 72 L+15.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15610752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa511…18a3backed Under68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over52c296.57$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.221,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Under48c287.3$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.963036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under48c281.07$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8453348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…11d4backed Over53c254.19$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.722040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13012356.9%70 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905040%20 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over47c248.25$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.686238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over68c243.72$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8618245.6%83 W · 99 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Over47c239$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a83…195bbacked Over53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x789b…4c08backed Over53c213.2$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf746…320fbacked Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under48c204.63$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.553253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+28.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3798…27fabacked Over7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142516%4 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick5cpaid+136.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10411265.2%73 W · 39 L+16.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Under21c200$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15819124.6%47 W · 144 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under48c190$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.810461.5%64 W · 40 L+12.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Over52c180.05$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.983246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.610958.7%64 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.610161.4%62 W · 39 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.616360.1%98 W · 65 L+16.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under48c170$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.46752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under48c170$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.410155.4%56 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under48c170$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.46147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under48c170$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.46755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under48c170$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.410359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under48c170$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.49757.7%56 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8766…2d95backed Over42c165.55$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eff…db12backed Over53c165.36$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.64911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick43cpaid-78.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Over71c157.27$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.448257.3%47 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Under52c154$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.254768.1%32 W · 15 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+42.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc923…5f12backed Over53c150.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789659.4%57 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7811056.4%62 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7811856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc021…7003backed Over53c147.66$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa96b…7d92backed Over50c143.2$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d5…74eabacked Over54c139.54$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under50c136.34$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.514261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Under72c136$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.673655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9236…da58backed Under52c135$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.41040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Over51c125.06$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.157352.1%38 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.413357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.