TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa96b…7d92

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
473
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT19041.1%78 W · 112 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 190 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.4
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$20.43
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.18
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$20.43
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$31.41
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$20.43
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.31
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+161.5%+$80.77
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.4
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$20.37
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$20.55
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$28.17
Showing 25 of 190 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT8052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Kennedy Nzechukwu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Chris Padilla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.31
UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Gauge Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$20.46
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jalin Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.4
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Mansur Abdul-Malik win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.31
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vicente Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
UFC 330: Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Lucas Fernando · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Neil Magny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will Manoel Sousa win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Manoel Sousa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.03
Will Uroš Medic win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$20.22
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will Aleksandar Rakic win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Aleksandar Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$12.25
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Robert Valentin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
UFC Fight Night: Borislav Nikolic vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Borislav Nikolic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mitch Ramirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Alberto Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$19.17
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT7236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-6.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.81
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-5.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.31
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-2.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$19.59
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Wichita State Shockersbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinal: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Idaho Vandals vs. Montana State Bobcatsbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.27
Spread: Nicholls Colonels (-2.5)backed Northwestern State Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.79
Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.34
Spread: High Point Panthers (-6.5)backed High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.34
Washington Huskies vs. Oregon Ducksbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20
Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)backed BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$20.61
Texas A&M Aggies vs. LSU Tigersbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$28.2
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-5.5)backed Mississippi State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.91
San Diego Toreros vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+52.5%+$10.15
Villanova Wildcats vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$29.9
Miami Hurricanes vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.83
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47.81
California Golden Bears vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+222.6%+$34.53
Stetson Hatters vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonelsbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$42.32
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT4344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.31
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.44
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.43
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.31
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.01
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.02
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$19.5
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$16.85
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$20.31
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3327.3%9 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-43.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$56.89
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.29
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$23.24
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+121.7%+$20.7
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.41
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$13.61
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Roman Andres Burruchaga vs. Alexander Blockx: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.9
Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$42
Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baezbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set 1 Winner: Basilashvili vs Tirantebacked Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19.59
Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Clement Taburbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Djokovicbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$33.23
Tsitsipas vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Jointbacked Serena Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+304.4%+$91.32
Wimbledon WTA: Kimberly Birrell vs Alina Korneevabacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.76
Wimbledon ATP: Michael Zheng vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jan Choinskibacked Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Alcaraz vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+85.2%+$19.59
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Joao Fonseca vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: LV (-3.5)backed ARI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.44
DET vs. CIN: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: GB (-2.5)backed GB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Cardinalsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.44
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$30.27
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.03
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+327.5%+$75.33
All 15 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Indiana Fever (-2.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.18
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-3.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.31
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.16
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.4
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.02
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.31
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$32.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.