Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b308d9ff4d2cff0c3081ecffe2ec55dff2aedeaf0f3612f9602ee0e48e71d97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Bulldogsof Georgia Bulldogs, Mississippi State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,765 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 51c | 895.69$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Georgia Bulldogs | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 51c | 426.35$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.44 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Georgia Bulldogs | 48c | 311.59$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.85 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Georgia Bulldogs | 49c | 242.76$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Georgia Bulldogs | 46c | 217.09$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 51c | 148.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Georgia Bulldogs | 50c | 143.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 51c | 111.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 51c | 98.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 49c | 75.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 49c | 74.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Georgia Bulldogs | 22c | 66.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 47c | 63.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Georgia Bulldogs | 53c | 59.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 74c | 56.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…8bb1backed Georgia Bulldogs | 49c | 51.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 52c | 44.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 36c | 30.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 49c | 25.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Georgia Bulldogs | 50c | 22.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 64c | 18.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-5.5)this page
- Georgia Bulldogs vs. Mississippi State BulldogsGeorgia Bulldogs won
- Georgia Bulldogs vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs: O/U 162.5Over won
- Georgia Bulldogs vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs: O/U 164.5Over won
- Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-4.5)Georgia Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.