TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pittsburgh Piratesof Detroit Tigers, Pittsburgh Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$567,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$601,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $567,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Pittsburgh Pirates60c187,500$112,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,999.9846949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers45c103,451$46,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,764.410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Detroit Tigers40c87,475$34,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,990.0486548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…7a06backed Pittsburgh Pirates39c41,871$16,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,568.43825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Detroit Tigers57c26,299$15,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,099.9998149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Detroit Tigers74c22,350$16,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,4737352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Pittsburgh Pirates60c18,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20077053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8002…8b6cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates60c13,869$8,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,547.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Detroit Tigers41c12,084$4,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,954.4419950.3%100 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates28c11,418$3,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,222.772,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates25c11,400$2,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,506.738,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers40c11,329$4,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,531.715,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers40c9,431$3,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,806.9611,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pittsburgh Pirates53c7,271$3,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,403.244,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Pittsburgh Pirates71c7,141$5,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.4543554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Pittsburgh Pirates55c6,009$3,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,696.2579442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Detroit Tigers80c5,500$4,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,398.996666.7%44 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.991,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates60c4,074$2,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.9345445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Detroit Tigers41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64024250.8%123 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Detroit Tigers41c3,860$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.4619453.6%104 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Detroit Tigers40c3,750$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005457.4%31 W · 23 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+40.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates19c3,718$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.7619051.1%97 W · 93 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c3,560$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.4460043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates60c3,472$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.745252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates64c2,892$1,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.494,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Detroit Tigers40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00089153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Detroit Tigers41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022948.9%112 W · 117 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates43c2,340$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.4112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Detroit Tigers48c2,063$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9906142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84012255.7%68 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Detroit Tigers40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005048%24 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Detroit Tigers77c2,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5409639.6%38 W · 58 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Detroit Tigers40c1,990$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79619534.4%67 W · 128 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Detroit Tigers40c1,941$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.451,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fd…442fbacked Detroit Tigers56c1,902$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.861346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers40c1,805$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.966,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Pittsburgh Pirates60c1,795$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.111,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Detroit Tigers51c1,700$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.0425447.6%121 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Pittsburgh Pirates16c1,563$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.516814.3%24 W · 144 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Detroit Tigers4c1,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60504%2 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed Detroit Tigers4c1,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60523.8%2 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e8…9490backed Detroit Tigers4c1,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60420%0 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed Detroit Tigers4c1,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60553.6%2 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Detroit Tigers41c1,430$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.3892046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf0…b554backed Pittsburgh Pirates18c1,395$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.91361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates65c1,360$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47669453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664e…e82abacked Detroit Tigers76c1,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers51c1,224$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.558,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de2…11a9backed Detroit Tigers41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates51c1,204$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.838,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates60c1,167$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.224,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Detroit Tigers41c1,123$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.4344953.7%241 W · 208 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5046…c617backed Detroit Tigers39c1,104$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e50…0ea8backed Detroit Tigers3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30577%4 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+83%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Detroit Tigers40c999.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9936932.8%121 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c92…cc95backed Detroit Tigers78c956.4$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74dd…df82backed Pittsburgh Pirates25c949$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.4512035%42 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Pittsburgh Pirates60c945.65$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.2614358%83 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf824…ebe3backed Detroit Tigers38c939.71$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.22334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Detroit Tigers40c934.16$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.8247852.3%250 W · 228 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b3…966bbacked Detroit Tigers41c889.37$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.731250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x694d…e762backed Pittsburgh Pirates60c873.43$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.351369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c54…bebbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates56c873.27$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.246354%34 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Detroit Tigers70c766.84$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.6995045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers40c722.06$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.823,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Pittsburgh Pirates54c717.7$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.6647358.4%276 W · 197 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Pittsburgh Pirates24c717.12$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.0631957.4%183 W · 136 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Pittsburgh Pirates30c633.33$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.3311129.7%33 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8421…4e30backed Detroit Tigers18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1089036.7%33 W · 57 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked Detroit Tigers18c599.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812245.9%56 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb66…c8dfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates59c595.31$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Detroit Tigers43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25047545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad54…006abacked Detroit Tigers45c567.87$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.5458060.5%351 W · 229 L+30.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fd4…de15backed Pittsburgh Pirates26c554.86$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.1317160.8%104 W · 67 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Detroit Tigers59c549.15$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.8734952.7%184 W · 165 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Detroit Tigers40c544$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.695252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Pittsburgh Pirates26c528.58$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.154814.6%7 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates59c513.56$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5612253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Detroit Tigers40c510.6$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2448339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pittsburgh Pirates19c500.22$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.871,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Detroit Tigers41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20561947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Pittsburgh Pirates60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003375.8%25 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+40.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Detroit Tigers6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30180%0 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Detroit Tigers40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022448.7%109 W · 115 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Pittsburgh Pirates71c487.3$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1355658.1%323 W · 233 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68c5…0322backed Pittsburgh Pirates61c483.87$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.71850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb43e…8200backed Detroit Tigers41c471.85$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4622744.9%102 W · 125 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x619a…036abacked Pittsburgh Pirates58c448.07$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.192263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d6…6562backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c433.54$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…2b75backed Pittsburgh Pirates59c416.66$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.838148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates52c416.03$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.941,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfec…774abacked Detroit Tigers37c410.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea53…e1ebbacked Detroit Tigers40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e55…a332backed Detroit Tigers41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1647050%35 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2465…5d84backed Detroit Tigers75c399$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.521,09979.7%876 W · 223 L+33.4wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f8b…37c8backed Detroit Tigers66c372.46$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.829570.5%67 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Pittsburgh Pirates46c363.84$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6279955.9%447 W · 352 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Detroit Tigers41c334.4$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.158943.1%254 W · 335 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Detroit Tigers74c334$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.0552053.8%280 W · 240 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.