MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x136c621270cb4a7f266d321af5b2fd8e12d7cdaf7d39b7b70f71d14cd86ec83c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 50c | 63,434$31,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,024.67 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 39,395$20,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,265.91 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 26,143$13,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,583.99 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 55c | 20,817$11,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500.72 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Under | 44c | 12,900$5,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,224 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 12,720$5,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,996 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 7,616$3,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,842.19 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 46c | 3,048$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.11 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 53c | 2,854$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.45 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 44c | 2,029$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.38 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 46c | 1,699$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.36 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 46c | 1,535$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.58 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 475 | 52%247 W · 228 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 44c | 1,200$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…14c2backed Over | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 1,107$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.19 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…11a9backed Over | 53c | 946.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 44c | 889.34$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.53 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 801.76$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.52 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 49c | 720.89$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.44 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 44c | 655.18$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.21 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Over | 56c | 524$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.44 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…80a7backed Over | 57c | 414.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.58 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 45c | 408$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.48 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 57c | 399.47$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.24 | 336 | 49.1%165 W · 171 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Over | 58c | 377.59$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 110 | 64.5%71 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 50c | 367.49$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.15 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 44c | 336.34$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.35 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 45c | 230$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Under | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 282 | 45.7%129 W · 153 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 39c | 184.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 152.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…7cffbacked Over | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 55c | 138.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 60c | 125.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.78 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Under | 44c | 122.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 390 | 49%191 W · 199 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 45c | 122.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 39c | 115$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 476 | 46.8%223 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 63c | 105.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 50c | 97.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 43c | 93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 62c | 67.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 39c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 800 | 52%416 W · 384 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 59c | 62.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 44c | 61.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 42c | 55.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 671 | 52.5%352 W · 319 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 54c | 54.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 53c | 51.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 226 | 52.2%118 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 44c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 54c | 40.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Over | 28c | 39.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 396 | 53%210 W · 186 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 45c | 37.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 44c | 35.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0274…c658backed Over | 56c | 34.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 54c | 33.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 62c | 32.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 54c | 29.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 49c | 28.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 44c | 27.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 54c | 26.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 52c | 19.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.