WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ae681a44913085d43e4376fc73bbc26ea67a13af216419378ed6a049991f04b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Feverof Las Vegas Aces, Indiana Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 5,500$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.98 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 5,400$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 3,847$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 3,666$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.76 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 1,179$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 676$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 561.96$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.69 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 500.6$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.29 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Indiana Fever | 57c | 439.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.64 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 422$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 262.46$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.07 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 259.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.3 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 254.17$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…19c8backed Indiana Fever | 56c | 177.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Indiana Fever | 54c | 171.84$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 157.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Las Vegas Aces | 10c | 125$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 123.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3a15backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 122.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 105.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…3d6fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 97.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 80.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Las Vegas Aces | 42c | 79.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 72.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 67.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 67.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Las Vegas Aces | 42c | 61.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 60.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Indiana Fever | 58c | 55.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 45.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 38.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 34.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Indiana Fever | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 31.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 43c | 28.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05e…1323backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Indiana Fever | 58c | 24.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…26edbacked Indiana Fever | 54c | 18.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas AcesIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 180.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.