WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 180.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7e084d347072272f1c0975a64b45fe2fa1bbd848a4ddbd82c597ee2daa2bfda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 5,766$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.06 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Under | 52c | 3,735$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 3,606$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.95 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Under | 50c | 2,940$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Under | 52c | 2,086$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 56c | 1,500$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.98 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 1,453$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.4 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 51c | 1,115$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.48 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 1,024$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.48 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 48c | 943.85$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.42 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Under | 50c | 805.02$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.13 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 52c | 773.08$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Over | 49c | 752.2$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.62 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 51c | 693.84$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 50c | 662.36$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.18 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Under | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 50c | 498.11$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.51 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 78c | 382.17$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 49c | 361$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.11 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80f…393fbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 294.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 39c | 210$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…f981backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 10c | 199.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 51c | 193.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…37b1backed Under | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 187.78$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Over | 50c | 183$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 48c | 163.38$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 51c | 152.73$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Under | 74c | 132.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 66c | 129.11$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 51c | 98.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 95.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 11c | 95.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 77.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 51c | 64.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5399…2b4fbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 37c | 42.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…f14cbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Over | 49c | 36.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Over | 49c | 36.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 38c | 33.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 46c | 30.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 42c | 30.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…b515backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 49c | 29.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 49c | 27.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 56c | 23.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x91cb…3c4dbacked Under | 77c | 13.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 180.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas AcesIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.