TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb80f…393f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT5026%13 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$60.92
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$42.88
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$48.55
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.93
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.67
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.01
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.56
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.93
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$119.33
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.79
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$73.52
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.62
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.51
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.87
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.26
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.72
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.43
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.09
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.97
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.11
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-48.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athens Open: Mina Hodzic vs Harriet Dartbacked Mina Hodzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.49
Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Asschebacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.93
Set 2 Winner: Hodzic vs Dartbacked Dart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.21
Set 2 Winner: Lajovic vs Asschebacked Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.19
Iasi Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Petra Marcinkobacked Nadia Podoroska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.63
Set 2 Winner: Dzumhur vs Rochabacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$49.65
Set 2 Winner: Bondar vs Tormobacked Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.03
Kitzbuehel: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Ekaterina Perelyginabacked Ekaterina Perelygina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$20.89
Set 1 Winner: Bondar vs Tormobacked Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$25.78
Swiss Open: Clement Tabur vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Kitzbuehel: Julia Grabher vs Elena Ruxandra Berteabacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Set 4 Winner: Sinner vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 12 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$74.34
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.11
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.