WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8a962fe2d681da8504ac44723576e107d3543fae82d8c2855b4b8dceb29d514
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 5,747$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.93 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 52c | 5,467$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.92 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 4,094$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.86 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Under | 57c | 2,446$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 2,023$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.86 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Under | 55c | 1,798$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 51c | 1,265$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.93 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 1,260$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.91 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 25c | 575.15$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…68f7backed Under | 58c | 523.72$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 45c | 455$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.96 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 51c | 449.48$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.6 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Under | 58c | 418.05$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.47 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 73c | 399.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…de2ebacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 44c | 370.03$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.18 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 51c | 361.29$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.26 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 44c | 353.05$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.36 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed Under | 20c | 319.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 59c | 287.18$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.48 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb80f…393fbacked Over | 80c | 278.71$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 48c | 278.01$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.48 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 51c | 275.66$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.9 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Over | 50c | 266.1$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.61 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 53c | 214.71$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 49c | 206.83$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 39c | 205$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 200.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.31 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 52c | 187$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 44c | 147.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 44c | 127$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 49c | 121.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 42c | 116.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 56c | 93.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 48c | 86.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 44c | 83.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 27c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 57c | 62.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 60.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 61c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 59c | 59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Under | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 51c | 55.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 57c | 54.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…cb6abacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 52c | 46.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Under | 27c | 44.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 48c | 43.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 40.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Over | 48c | 37.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…515abacked Under | 54c | 37.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…37b1backed Under | 62c | 32.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 29.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4675…b0d5backed Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 51cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…190ebacked Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…3658backed Over | 48c | 26.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 51c | 26.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 42c | 25.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 19.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 61c | 16.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.