WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32c4e2b2c56d5b8227ff6530ddc3d7ad2d7422cab2f3ec35661d4e20495df3b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 30,888$15,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,196.63 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 51c | 23,573$12,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,550.89 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 52c | 13,833$7,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,654.46 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Over | 51c | 6,500$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 50c | 4,015$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.6 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Under | 53c | 3,683$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 3,308$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.43 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 2,843$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.31 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 48c | 2,627$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.82 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed Under | 16c | 2,339$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 2,048$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.52 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 49c | 2,024$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.47 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 48c | 1,800$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 1,615$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.38 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 1,614$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.38 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked Under | 53c | 1,175$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 49c | 1,005$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.77 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Under | 11c | 897.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 51c | 812.75$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.95 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Under | 49c | 658.69$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 55cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 627.53$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.85 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 52c | 554$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.08 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Over | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 49c | 531$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.19 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Under | 51c | 358.06$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.03 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Over | 51c | 350$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 15c | 309.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 271.59$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 270.73$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 51c | 267$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.83 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…db42backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 46c | 166$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 49c | 161.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 36c | 147$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 33c | 127.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 50c | 124.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…95eebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…7e2bbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Under | 19c | 74.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Over | 50c | 54.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Under | 50c | 49.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 40.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 49c | 39.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 60c | 38.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 52c | 31.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 51c | 28.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 53c | 28.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…3658backed Over | 46c | 23.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 59c | 23.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.