TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf56d…3658

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
203
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: WNBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT15950.3%80 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 159 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Veronika Podrez vs. Carol Young Suh Lee: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Mark Lajalbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.24
Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Ilya Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.27
Pellegrino vs. Bueno: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$20.47
ITF Darmstadt: Nastasja Schunk vs Irene Burillo Escorihuelabacked Nastasja Schunk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.98
Pozoblanco: Tiago Pereira vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Ilya Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.9
Rome: Martina Trevisan vs Francesca Jonesbacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.2
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.12
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Max Alcala Gurri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$21.03
Generali Open, Qualification: Hugo Dellien vs Michele Ribecaibacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Andrey Rublev vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.56
Adolfo Vallejo vs. Luciano Darderi: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.36
Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Alex Molcanbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.92
Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.43
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+183.3%+$20.58
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.31
Draxl vs. Milavsky: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.8
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Pozoblanco: Hugo Grenier vs Akira Santillanbacked Hugo Grenier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Iasi Open: Panna Udvardy vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
ITF Dallas: Dasha Ivanova vs Ekaterina Khayrutdinovabacked Dasha Ivanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Lincoln: James McCabe vs Bernard Tomicbacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Lautaro Midonbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Showing 25 of 159 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptorsbacked Toronto Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.02
NBA Summer League: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericksbacked Dallas Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.08
NBA Summer League: LA Clippers vs. Washington Wizardsbacked LA Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+133.8%+$18.01
NBA Summer League: San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazzbacked Utah Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
NBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Orleans Pelicansbacked New Orleans Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.68
NBA Summer League: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Indiana Pacersbacked Minnesota Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.82
NBA Summer League: LA Lakers vs. LA Clippersbacked LA Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
NBA Summer League: Chicago Bulls vs. Washington Wizardsbacked Chicago Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$37.66
NBA Summer League: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Minnesota Timberwolvesbacked Minnesota Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
NBA Summer League: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Phoenix Sunsbacked Milwaukee Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. Chicago Bullsbacked Chicago Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistonsbacked New York Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.27
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-64.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.49
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astrosbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.47
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.02
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+47.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Rīgas Futbola Skola vs. Glentoran FC: Glentoran FC O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.