TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Pozoblanco: Hugo Grenier vs Akira Santillan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Akira Santillanof Hugo Grenier, Akira Santillan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,536 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Hugo Grenier33c16,076$5,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,264.6211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507c…85efbacked Akira Santillan55c13,037$7,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,840.13756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Hugo Grenier6c11,588$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.84,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hugo Grenier42c3,708$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.948,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Akira Santillan32c3,300$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,247.347728.1%134 W · 343 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Hugo Grenier40c2,313$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.274,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Akira Santillan55c2,199$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.144,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…3c88backed Akira Santillan67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5419051.6%98 W · 92 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54a3…9b39backed Hugo Grenier61c1,468$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.4311554.8%63 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Hugo Grenier48c1,246$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.371,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd599…c994backed Hugo Grenier27c824.83$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.963953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Akira Santillan40c799.99$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.349,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x452f…9b78backed Hugo Grenier15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Hugo Grenier32c628.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hugo Grenier24c620.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.068,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Akira Santillan78c617.02$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.272,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Hugo Grenier58c515.95$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30046453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Akira Santillan63c427.81$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.964,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Akira Santillan49c417.64$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.598,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Akira Santillan71c352.03$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.45,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Hugo Grenier38c331.88$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4222344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Hugo Grenier52c323.12$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.0232031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Hugo Grenier15c320.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4858931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Hugo Grenier63c265.47$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.981,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Hugo Grenier60c235.67$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6425349%124 W · 129 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Akira Santillan49c232.55$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6747956.6%271 W · 208 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Hugo Grenier9c220$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.831841.8%133 W · 185 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Hugo Grenier32c219.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7019253.1%102 W · 90 L-13.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbae1…a7b6backed Hugo Grenier15c200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.098732.2%28 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Akira Santillan38c186.29$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.55,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Akira Santillan69c179.54$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.981,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f4…0f35backed Hugo Grenier62c177.05$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.775232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Akira Santillan65c165.37$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.53,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Hugo Grenier44c142.68$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.781,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e4…db33backed Akira Santillan77c129.41$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4118968.8%130 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Hugo Grenier37c129.22$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7245850.7%232 W · 226 L-1.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c9d…2ee4backed Akira Santillan40c125.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.354740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Akira Santillan40c125.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3167852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Akira Santillan66c122$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.454,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Hugo Grenier15c111.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.322,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hugo Grenier11c105.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.786,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Akira Santillan39c101.27$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.311,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Hugo Grenier11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7928543.5%124 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Hugo Grenier45c96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8662140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Akira Santillan39c93.7$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.817,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Akira Santillan73c82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8192674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae63…9dcdbacked Hugo Grenier61c81.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020552.2%107 W · 98 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Hugo Grenier61c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.461152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe54…c928backed Hugo Grenier23c78.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.079136.3%33 W · 58 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dcb…9f08backed Hugo Grenier32c78.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520635.9%74 W · 132 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Hugo Grenier35c77.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0874346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Akira Santillan64c77.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.196,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85af…c5ffbacked Hugo Grenier23c76.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.913930.8%12 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Akira Santillan68c73.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.523,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe081…0bf5backed Hugo Grenier15c68.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.258123.5%19 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Hugo Grenier34c64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.735,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Hugo Grenier46c59.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2139451.3%202 W · 192 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2180…df40backed Akira Santillan34c59.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.527048.6%34 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Akira Santillan40c59.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7485637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9575…cd83backed Akira Santillan35c57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3422046.8%103 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Akira Santillan39c51.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.752,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Hugo Grenier61c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.357449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Akira Santillan51c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.681,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc95d…d369backed Hugo Grenier34c49.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7617050.6%86 W · 84 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x820d…2236backed Hugo Grenier32c47.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154615.2%7 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Akira Santillan61c42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.381,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Hugo Grenier61c42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.664,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…7332backed Hugo Grenier39c34.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbef0…69c8backed Hugo Grenier39c33.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Akira Santillan42c32.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.836,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Hugo Grenier56c31.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1853736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf56d…3658backed Hugo Grenier63c31.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7715950.3%80 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Hugo Grenier61c27.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9427653.6%148 W · 128 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Akira Santillan47c27.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7592352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Hugo Grenier61c27.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8327254.4%148 W · 124 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Hugo Grenier59c27.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1627853.2%148 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Hugo Grenier61c26.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.942,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Akira Santillan61c26.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0942350.8%215 W · 208 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Hugo Grenier47c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.274,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bdc…e345backed Akira Santillan64c24.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7716943.8%74 W · 95 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62f…1781backed Akira Santillan65c23.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2926664.7%172 W · 94 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Akira Santillan68c15.87$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1148152%250 W · 231 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.