TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeaf3…e802

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
563
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT47728.1%134 W · 343 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 477 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Joanna Garland vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.89
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gauthier Onclin vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.74
Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.88
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonaldbacked Niels McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Roehampton 2: George Loffhagen vs Alastair Graybacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.98
Roehampton 2: Alec Deckers vs Luca Potenzabacked Luca Potenza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.42
US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Elmer Moellerbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+134.3%+$183.4
US Open, Qualification WTA: Dominika Salkova vs Akasha Urhobobacked Akasha Urhobo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US Open, Qualification ATP: Laslo Djere vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.79
US Open, Qualification ATP: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Tom Gentzschbacked Pol Martin Tiffon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Winston-Salem Open: Jan Choinski vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.88
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Felix Gillbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.07
US Open, Qualification ATP: Harry Wendelken vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
US Open, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Liam Broadybacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.29
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+910.1%+$369.4
US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rinconbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.2
Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damasbacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.4
Roehampton 2: Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Oskari Paldaniusbacked Inaki Montes-De La Torre · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$181.99
Roehampton 2: Radu Albot vs Leonardo Rossibacked Radu Albot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.12
Winston-Salem Open: Martin Landaluce vs Mattia Belluccibacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Felix Balshaw vs Sebastian Gorznybacked Felix Balshaw · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$152.71
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Hunter Heck vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Hunter Heck · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Li Tu vs Quinn Vandecasteelebacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Cancun: Moez Echargui vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Showing 25 of 477 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+360.8%+$1,804.15
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$692.75
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$910
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,007
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$932Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$932.25
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.6
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$56.38
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.96
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$26.35
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$168.78
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$147.9
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.4
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$623.87
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$723.33
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.35
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$550.8
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$211.37
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.94
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$827.62
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$750
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+63.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,798Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,302
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$353.5
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+498.9%+$5,339.72
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,263.58
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,553Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.2%+$2,146.62
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,545Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+204.9%+$3,165.3
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.71
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.3
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-71.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manresa vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,051.49
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,186.43
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$894.29
Real Madrid vs. CB Breogan Lugobacked CB Breogan Lugo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,644Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+47%+$772.48
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,115.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$72.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,495
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,681Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,681
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$759
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.