TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$933,788
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$852,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $933,788 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd49f…4507backed Yes10c202,097$20,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,609.9112210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes9c155,555$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,999.9542345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes9c54,026$4,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,767.588,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes9c50,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa701…47cdbacked Yes9c42,523$3,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,827.051936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes9c22,222$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes9c22,222$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes8c18,750$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes9c16,966$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.2122229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes10c15,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50041429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes9c8,313$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.171567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes9c8,114$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.2656410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes3c7,119$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7740912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes9c6,671$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.3615337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes8c6,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5823…8782backed Yes9c5,356$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.02826.1%5 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes8c4,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32012810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes9c3,881$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.432,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3f…100cbacked Yes9c3,789$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3375817.2%10 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Yes8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d5d…9a2ebacked Yes8c3,543$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd134…29febacked Yes9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007726%20 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e7c…6392backed Yes9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003411.8%4 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…577ebacked Yes2c3,056$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.118212.2%10 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-60.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1de4…fababacked Yes9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2707821.8%17 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes9c2,889$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26011914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7b…aaffbacked Yes9c2,333$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105626.8%15 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+66.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes9c2,311$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20820816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf271…acf2backed Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008727.6%24 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb50b…a74fbacked Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002227.3%6 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+44.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c1…a09ebacked Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1685…cb4ebacked Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed Yes10c1,998$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.89017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8876…01fbbacked Yes9c1,889$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704119.5%8 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes9c1,889$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c05…1d1dbacked Yes9c1,778$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+25.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes8c1,696$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.711,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03fa…4911backed Yes9c1,611$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1458920.2%18 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+54.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes9c1,524$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.162,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes9c1,520$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.86729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes9c1,339$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.611,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad81…a28abacked Yes9c1,333$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207025.7%18 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc875…ff98backed Yes9c1,333$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011515.7%18 W · 97 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes11c1,250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13533235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes6c1,250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7527811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes9c1,222$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f77…2b2fbacked Yes9c1,133$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002540%10 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+57.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013933.1%46 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b0…d5d8backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009719.6%19 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8e…37d1backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009015.6%14 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadc2…96ebbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008421.4%18 W · 66 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fd1…e502backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005617.9%10 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+113.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc678…924fbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick22cpaid-80%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ef…b24bbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022731.3%71 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c0…cf74backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004134.1%14 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009943.4%43 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d87…db7abacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007530.7%23 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x219a…ded8backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009631.3%30 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c86…f7fbbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-78.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7195…f4eebacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010617.9%19 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…8f82backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443a…ba14backed Yes9c1,100$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996214.5%9 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef2…1a2dbacked Yes9c1,071$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.43119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf53f…ace3backed Yes9c1,071$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.43016.7%5 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick22cpaid+6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Yes9c1,040$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.64348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes10c1,004$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012715%19 W · 108 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ba…dcb2backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04c9…f1fabacked Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909727.8%27 W · 70 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+81.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes7c999.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6648526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes8c999.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8015911.9%19 W · 140 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…745cbacked Yes2c999.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521433.2%71 W · 143 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes2c993.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4335719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b16…12fabacked Yes10c898.2$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.821428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2976…5c52backed Yes12c865.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes9c855.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8033915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Yes5c839.7$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7717659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes8c835.88$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.371,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes6c800$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4420511.7%24 W · 181 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes9c788.89$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712799.7%27 W · 252 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes3c770$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.12,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes9c737.72$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5153920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Yes10c700$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021321.1%45 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes4c669.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308716.1%14 W · 73 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8581…5393backed Yes9c666.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da4…dcbebacked Yes10c622$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.21915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick11cpaid-16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes11c612.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.783,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Yes8c610$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.630137.2%112 W · 189 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes9c567.11$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0445932.5%149 W · 310 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc529…889fbacked Yes10c566.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182c…64d3backed Yes6c559.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.077215.3%11 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes9c556$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0438817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b6…d152backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021837.6%82 W · 136 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.