Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3f900f6da5441e73caacb2658dae6d05f07176e8a45fecd6e735a0518df707e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $836,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $727,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $836,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 181,508$12,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,459.24 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 7c | 102,876$7,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,201.35 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Yes | 7c | 70,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 7c | 32,566$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.61 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 7c | 24,286$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 6c | 11,567$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.19 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 7c | 10,287$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.09 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed4…e181backed Yes | 7c | 8,500$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b9…29abbacked Yes | 7c | 8,429$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b01backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 7c | 6,486$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.99 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 6c | 5,831$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.65 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…be6dbacked Yes | 7c | 5,714$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fd…a851backed Yes | 7c | 5,680$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.61 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b0…5ab1backed Yes | 7c | 5,506$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.39 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 7c | 5,169$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.8 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…4f38backed Yes | 7c | 4,286$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf615…2324backed Yes | 7c | 4,052$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 5c | 3,701$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.05 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes | 0c | 3,600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…6866backed Yes | 7c | 3,571$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes | 7c | 3,571$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 246 | 20.3%50 W · 196 L | -21.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 6c | 3,174$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.45 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,062$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.34 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…b750backed Yes | 6c | 3,061$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.53 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…ee3dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…8626backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…c680backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 183 | 21.3%39 W · 144 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…1252backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65b…8a4abacked Yes | 7c | 2,571$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…437fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 5c | 2,500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.69 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 7c | 2,470$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.51 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…48febacked Yes | 7c | 2,286$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 7c | 2,100$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729e…4cf5backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,946$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…1a1abacked Yes | 7c | 1,571$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dac…dcd9backed Yes | 7c | 1,571$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…38cdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,569$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f9…655dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,568$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…745cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 214 | 33.2%71 W · 143 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…9e0cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,457$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b0…d5d8backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…c698backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 19.6%19 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc2…96ebbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb47…993abacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 12.5%13 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd1…e502backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…6ea0backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3415…1fb1backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9da7backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa467…9c53backed Yes | 7c | 1,376$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8e…37d1backed Yes | 7c | 1,352$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 90 | 15.6%14 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 7c | 1,301$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c1…9af2backed Yes | 7c | 1,287$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,286$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9029…7c5abacked Yes | 7c | 1,286$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…90aebacked Yes | 8c | 1,264$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…0738backed Yes | 7c | 1,200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bff…5c18backed Yes | 7c | 1,100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…9519backed Yes | 7c | 1,071$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…25fbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,050$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975e…f875backed Yes | 7c | 1,043$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,017$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2d…bfcbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c6…4366backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +264.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1f…c113backed Yes | 7c | 993.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 7c | 928.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 7c | 928.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f08…b729backed Yes | 7c | 901.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…8de4backed Yes | 7c | 892.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 200 | 13.5%27 W · 173 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 7c | 885.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?Yes won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.